England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
We head to the Vitality Stadium on Sunday for a clash of former friendships between two sides eager to flex their form and forge early momentum in the Premier League - it’s Bournemouth vs Newcastle United! The Cherries are in fourth place in the league standings, while the Magpies are 10th after the first four games of the season. Check out our match prediction below!
Eddie Howe is set to return to his former stomping ground this week, now donning the famous black and white stripes and looking to remind the Premier League that past connections do not grant future favours. Three points feel essential for the visitors here, as a loss could see them cut adrift from the top four at this early stage of the season.
Since arriving on Tyneside, Howe has experienced significant success, but this season, it is his successor, Andoni Iraola, who is enjoying the early accolades, with his side trailing the league leaders by just three points. Past ties meet present battles in this one - Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 2.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Newcastle match is: Bournemouth draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Bournemouth and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.54% for a win of Bournemouth against Newcastle with odds of 2.67 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Newcastle is 31.52% with odds of 3.65 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Bournemouth with odds of 3 at Betfred.
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Form
Bournemouth and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
|
10
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Bournemouth and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
20 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup
Bournemouth - Newcastle: Form Analysis
The 2024-25 Premier League campaign was a historic one for Bournemouth, as they managed to achieve a record-breaking seventh place - their highest-ever finish in the English top flight.
The Cherries have carried that impressive form into this season, winning three of their four games to date, with the only exception being a gutsy 4-2 defeat to champions Liverpool on opening day.
At home, the hosts have won both games this season, including a 2-1 victory over Brighton last weekend. They also took four points off their upcoming opponents from their two league games last term.
Eddie Howe has never beaten his former side in the Premier League as Newcastle manager!
Indeed, in six league meetings against Bournemouth since moving to St. James’ Park, Howe has overseen four draws and two defeats, with the most recent encounter ending in a 4-1 drubbing in January.
The Toons have not made a good start to the current season, having only won one of their first five matches across all competitions. They enter this fixture following a 2-1 home loss to Barcelona in their Champions League opener on Thursday.
The visitors have yet to score on the road in the Prem this season, with both games so far ending goalless, which has extended their winless away run in the top flight to five matches (D3 L2).
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Bournemouth vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Smith
B. Diakite
ForwardE. Unal
J. Ramsey
Y. Wissa
ForwardA. Gordon
Bournemouth & Newcastle Squad Analysis
The talk of the town over the early stages of this season has been Goal of the Month winner Antoine Semenyo, who leads the league for goal involvements, with three goals and two assists in four matches.
When these sides last met, Justin Kluivert scored a stunning hat-trick before turning provider for the fourth, and he will be hoping to earn a start here, having overcome an early-season calf injury.
Enes Unal is on the road to recovery from a cruciate ligament tear, and Adam Smith is sidelined until the end of the month with a hamstring issue, which should see James Hill continue at right-back. Bafode Diakite and Ryan Christie are flagged as doubts.
Can Nick Woltemade follow up his heroics against Wolves versus the Cherries this week?
The German forward has been thrust into the spotlight earlier than expected in his Newcastle career, owing to Yoanne Wissa picking up an injury on international duty just days after his £50m move to Tyneside.
Additionally, Anthony Gordon will serve the final of his three-match suspension this weekend, while Jacob Ramsey is sidelined until at least the middle of October with an ankle injury.
The visitors may also be forced into changes at the back after Fabian Schar and Kieran Trippier were both subbed off with knocks in the defeat to Barcelona. If Trippier cannot feature, Lewis Hall may be in line for his first start of the season.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Newcastle
A. Semenyo
(3 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(1 Goals)
, 
W. Osula
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Woltemade
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Gordon
(1 Goals)
A. Semenyo
(2 Assists)
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
Bournemouth and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Bournemouth - Newcastle Key Points
- Bournemouth are on a three-match winning streak.
- Bournemouth have kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last six league games against this opponent.
- Newcastle have only won one of their five matches across all competitions this season.
- Newcastle are winless in their last five away league games and have failed to score in the last three.
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Our Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle endured a frustrating summer in which they missed out on a host of transfer targets, and that seems to be coming back to cost them, with injuries starting to mount up amid a jam-packed fixture schedule.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, have been one of the standout sides over the first month in the Premier League and are now riding a three-match win streak, while having only lost to Liverpool this term. We fancy the hosts to get the win here, but we will take advantage of the favourable odds on offer as our primary wager by opting for our money back on the draw. Our Bournemouth vs Newcastle United prediction is Bournemouth draw no bet.
Bournemouth vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Bournemouth have kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches, while Newcastle have only conceded in one of their four league games this season. Additionally, the visitors have also failed to score in their last three league matches on the road.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Bournemouth vs. Newcastle game
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Bournemouth vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Newcastle will take place on September 21 at 13:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Newcastle will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Newcastle will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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