Bologna vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia
Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Bologna’s Coppa Italia defence starts this Thursday, with a home match against fellow Serie A side Parma. The two will be squaring off in the round of 16, which will also be their second meeting this season. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Bologna worked their way to the final last year, conceding just one goal as they lifted their fourth Coppa Italia gong. The 2025 triumph was an addition to the 1970 and 1974 gongs, and Bologna will be up for a successful defence.
However, their warmup for this clash wasn’t the best. They are coming off a 3-1 loss to promoted Serie A side Cremonese. That marked the end of their 12-match undefeated run.
Parma have already tasted defeat against Bologna this season. Their push for a third straight undefeated outing against Bologna fell flat in their league meeting in early November.
The match ended in a 3-1 loss at home, and they will be targeting revenge here. They are, however, not on a great run heading into this game, after a 2-0 Serie A loss to Udinese on Saturday.
Parma, like Bologna, are three-time winners of the Coppa Italia. Their last triumph came 23 years before Bologna’s latest, though.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bologna v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.1 | 5.91 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.4 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.32 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.3 | 6.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Parma?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Parma match is: Bologna to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/12/2025 between Bologna and Parma in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.71% for a win of Bologna against Parma with odds of 1.49 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Parma is 29.64% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Bologna with odds of 7.1 at Shangrila.
Bologna - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bologna Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 55.71% | 1.49 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.02% | 1.91 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna | 31.75% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Bologna vs Parma Form
Bologna and Parma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
Bologna vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
7 Feb 2021 - Serie A
28 Sept 2020 - Serie A
12 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Bologna against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
M. Pessina
M. Franceschelli
DefenderN. Zortea
J. Miranda
L. De Silvestri
MidfielderT. Pobega
N. Cambiaghi
N. Moro
ForwardS. Castro
B. Dominguez
C. Immobile
R. Orsolini
J. Odgaard
E. Corvi
F. Rinaldi
DefenderB. Conde
E. Valeri
L. Valenti
MidfielderA. Bernabe
O. Sorensen
G. Oristanio
N. Estevez
Hernani
T. Begic
M. Pellegrino
M. Djuric
P. Cutrone
P. Almqvist
Missing players
L. Skorupski
MidfielderR. Freuler
Z. Suzuki
DefenderN. Ndiaye
A. Circati
ForwardM. Frigan
Bologna - Parma Key Points
- Parma have one win in the last 10 meetings with Bologna.
- Bologna have lost once in their last 12 matches.
- Parma have one win in their last eight games.
- Bologna are unbeaten in four matches in Coppa Italia.
- Both teams scored in five of these teams’ last six meetings.
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Our Bologna vs Parma Prediction
Both Bologna and Parma are coming off defeats, and this will be their chance for an immediate bounce back. This match, however, does look like it will favor Bologna based on past head-to-head records as well as recent runs.
The hosts haven't lost a Coppa Italia match in the last four attempts and are coming here having only lost once in their last 12 games. As both sides are looking to return to winning ways, goals on either end remain a big possibility. It has been so in five of their last six meetings. Our prediction for Bologna v Parma is for Bologna to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Parma
| Bologna vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 1.49 | 1.49 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.7 | +14.6% |
| Parma wins | 5.91 | 7.1 | +20.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 67.1% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bologna vs. Parma game!
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Try your luck on this year's Coppa Italia! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
