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Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal

Portugal - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
25/05/2025 11:15
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

The giants of Portugal, Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, are set to lock horns yet again. After a grueling battle in the Primeiraa, in which Sporting emerged the best, action shifts to the Portuguese Cup. The two will be facing off in the final, which will be played at the Estadio Nacional de Jamor. Read on for our preview and at least two predictions for this match.

This will not be the first time the two heavyweights face off in a final this season. Back in January, Benfica overcame Sporting on post-match penalties to clinch the League Cup before the two went on a bruising battle for the league title.

As this supremacy battle shifts, Sporting will be on the hunt for Portuguese Cup number 22 while Benfica are gunning for their 30th such trophy. As the current champions Porto watch from a distance, will Benfica stretch their reign as the most successful, or will this be checked by Sporting? Read on for more.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Sporting Lisbon Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 3.3 3.1
Betfred
2.25 3.25 2.8
Betway
2.3 3.25 2.88
Ladbrokes
2.75 2.37 3
Unibet
2.28 3.3 2.85
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon match is: draw at 90 minutes.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.89% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon is 28.52% with odds of 3.5 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 3.15 at BC Game.

Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Benfica Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

23 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
FC Tirsense

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

23 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
FC Tirsense

13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca

2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Farense

8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Nacional Madeira
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

FC Tirsense
0 :  5
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Boavista
0 :  5
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Moreirense
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Moreirense

7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
SC Braga

3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Rio Ave

15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Famalicao
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Boavista
0 :  5
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

0 %

Draw

50 %

Sporting Lisbon

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
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Benfica Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis

Benfica had more than one opportunity to frustrate Sporting’s league campaign but spurned it. The most recent of them was when they met in the league, with Benfica hosting Sporting early this month.

It actually took a Benfica equalizer to earn a point in the game. That was the first of two draws to end Benfica’s league campaign. They will hope for an improvement here, looking to tap on their 12-match unbeaten run ahead of this clash.

Bruno Lage’s men are, however, guilty of complacency, the reason they were toppled by Sporting in the league battle. Benfica won this cup last in 2017 and will hope to end the eight-year wait for another.

These two sides have won a combined 51 Portuguese Cup titles.

Sporting Lisbon have the feeling of favorites coming into this game off the back of bagging their 21st league title. They were beaten to the League Cup by Benfica but got their measure of revenge by beating them to the league title.

Now Sporting are hoping not to lose in the cup final for the second time in a row. Last year they fell to FC Porto 2-1 in extra time, but with their recent run, which has also seen them win the league title, Sporting will come here hoping to turn this in their favor.

Sporting have registered a 17-match unbeaten run, winning 12 as they gear up for this finale.

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Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Trubin
44
T. Araujo
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
3
A. Fernandez
61
Florentino
18
L. Barreiro
17
K. Akturkoglu
10
O. Kokcu
21
A. Schjelderup
14
V. Pavlidis
8
P. Goncalves
9
V. Gyokeres
17
F. Trincao
20
M. Araujo
5
H. Morita
6
Z. Debast
21
G. Catamo
25
Goncalo Inacio
26
O. Diomande
72
Quaresma
24
Rui Silva

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Sporting Lisbon

Benfica Lisbon & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis

Vangelis Pavlidis has earned the right to lead Benfica into one of the biggest matches in Portugal. The Greek is on his first season with the Eagles but has already netted 29 goals.

This was a massive signing for Bruno Lage, and with support from Kerem Akturkoglu, Benfica should do well. Zeki Amdouni should be cleared in a late test to slot into a three-pronged attack.

Unfortunately, Benfica will not be able to call on Alex Bah, Manu Silva, and Fredrik Aursnes, all of whom are long-term absentees.

Sporting’s lead scorer has 24 goals more than Benfica’s.

While Benfica have Pavlidis as the main man in attack, Sporting have the much-sought Viktor Gyokeres. The Swede has scored 53 goals in 51 appearances this season, and Benfica have a reason to worry about him.

He scored in the League Cup meeting between these two sides and will definitely be the man to lead the attack.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (47 Goals)
Best assists
Greece V. Pavlidis (11 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (15 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. Three of the last five meetings between these two yielded draws.
  2. Benfica are coming from two straight draws.
  3. In their last 17 matches, Sporting are unbeaten.
  4. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 12 matches.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

These two teams still have the momentum from a gripping league campaign. In the last of their domestic activities for the season, we expect the two to cover every blade of grass for this trophy. Benfica may look like the underdogs here, but this derby has shown form doesn’t count a lot. 

In their first cup meeting, these teams battled to a draw and post-match penalties. There is a chance this battle too will head that direction, with a tight and tactical battle. Our prediction for Benfica v Sporting Lisbon is for a draw at 90 minutes.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions

under 2.5 goals

Odds 2.2

The goals have been getting fewer in this derby, and after a long, battling season, fatigue might mean we are not treated to high-scoring matches this late in the year. Our second prediction, therefore, is for the match to have under 2.5 goals.

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Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions

The Benfica v Sporting match will be played on Sunday, 25th May.

The Benfica v Sporting match will be played at Estadio Nacional de Jamor.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
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