Belarus vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Belarus
03/10/2026 12:00
San Marino

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Belarus is still without a win after the first two UEFA Nations League Group games. San Marino are also without a win after picking up their second loss against Albania. Their last two H2H meetings saw Belarus winning while keeping a clean sheet. Yet both teams are struggling in attack, so our Belarus vs San Marino match prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Titani were beaten 3-0 by Albania on Matchday 2, three days after their 7-0 humbling by Finland. The team has been poor in front of goal, scoring only four in its last eight games. San Marino are also winless in that stretch of eight games. This poor run of form could worsen when they face Belarus, who are yet to win their first UEFA Nations League group game.

Belarus were held to a goalless draw by Finland days after losing 2-0 on opening day. Their form in this competition has been quite poor as they are winless in six games. White Wings have also scored only two goals in their past six UEFA Nations League group games. 

Still, Belarus has a better H2H, winning their past two meetings, so they might triumph come Saturday. Overall, we expect both teams to opt for an overly defensive posture given their attacking woes, thus resulting in a low scoring tie.

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Belarus v San Marino Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.09 9.4 23
1xbet
1.12 10.5 24
Melbet
1.1 10 23
Betwinner
1.08 11 28
Bet365
1.1 9 21
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belarus and San Marino?

Our prediction for the Belarus vs San Marino match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Belarus and San Marino in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.36% for a win of Belarus against San Marino with odds of 1.12 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belarus vs San Marino is 18.26% with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.38% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Belarus with odds of 28 at Betwinner.

Belarus vs San Marino Form

Belarus and San Marino's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Belarus
1 2 0 1 1 -2
4 San Marino
0 2 0 0 2 -10

Belarus and San Marino Last Matches

Belarus
Belarus Last matches
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  0
Belarus

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
2 :  2
Burkina Faso

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
4 :  1
Syria

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
2 :  2
Burkina Faso

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
4 :  1
Syria

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  6
Denmark

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  2
Scotland

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Belarus
1 :  4
Russia
L D W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  0
Belarus

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
2 :  2
Belarus

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Scotland
2 :  1
Belarus
San Marino
San Marino Last matches
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  3
Albania

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Azerbaijan

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Bangladesh

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Andorra

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Faroe Islands
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  3
Albania

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Azerbaijan

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Bangladesh

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Andorra

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Faroe Islands
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
3.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Romania
7 :  1
San Marino

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Czechia
1 :  0
San Marino

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Austria
10 :  0
San Marino

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
3 :  1
San Marino

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Modena
0 :  0
San Marino

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  0
San Marino

Belarus vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Belarus

100 %

Draw

0 %

San Marino

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

18 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  2
Belarus
Belarus vs San Marino Prediction

Belarus vs San Marino last Lineups

Belarus

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

21
F. Lapoukhov
5
V. Kalinin
20
Z. Volkov
13
K. Gomanov
2
K. Pechenin
19
A. Lukashov
8
A. Selyava
9
A. Ebong Ngome
7
A. Shumanskiy
11
G. Barkovsky
17
V. Lisakovich
9
N. Nanni
19
S. Pancotti
21
L. Lazzari
8
L. Capicchioni
22
M. Mularoni
7
G. Capicchioni
3
S. Giocondi
5
M. Cevoli
6
D. Rossi
2
G. Benvenuti
1
E. Colombo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

San Marino

Substitutes

Belarus
Belarus
Goalkeeper

P. Pavlyuchenko

A. Kudravets

Defender

R. Begunov

E. Parkhomenko

Midfielder

D. Galyata

A. Kovalev

E. Yablonski

V. Bocherov

V. Gromyko

A. Svirepa

Forward

T. Simanenka

T. Melnichenko

San Marino
San Marino
Goalkeeper

M. De Angelis

P. Amici

Defender

A. Tosi

M. Pasolini

F. Fabbri

Midfielder

G. Bugli

E. Della Balda

S. Zannoni

C. Meloni

P. Marinucci

Forward

F. Salicioni

N. Giacopetti

Belarus and San Marino Stats in UEFA Nations League

Belarus
Belarus
San Marino
San Marino
0%
Wins
0%
50%
Losses
100%
50%
Draws
0%
1
Average goals per match
5
0
Goals scored per match
0
1
Goals conceded per match
5
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
0%

Belarus - San Marino Key Points

  1. Both teams are goal-less in their first two UEFA Nations League group games.
  2. San Marino has only scored four goals in its last eight international appearances.
  3. White Wings have only scored three goals in its last six UEFA Nations League group games.
  4. San Marino has not scored more than one goal in any of its last six matches.
  5. The last meeting between both sides ended with under 2.5.
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Our Belarus vs San Marino Prediction

White Wings could snatch another win bolstered by their H2H head-to-head games and given San Marino’s weak attack. However, Titani have also played with a weak attack, especially in their recent UEFA Nations League games. 

Their last meeting ended with under 2.5 goals, and now their front lines are performing worse. We expect little up-front action from both teams in Saturday’s game, a factor that points to another low-scoring match. Hence, our Belarus vs San Marino prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.