Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen have struggled to replicate the high standards they set the last two seasons. Next up for the former German champions is a Bundesliga home game against Union Berlin. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Five matches into the Bundesliga season, Leverkusen have managed just eight points. Three times in their five league matches, Leverkusen were the first to score but dropped points.
Balancing league and continental demands also seems to be wearing the team down. In their four home matches this season, Leverkusen have only managed one win, and they have no clean sheet in those outings.
In midweek they once again scored first but couldn’t beat PSV in the Champions League, only drawing 1-1.
In their last nine matches against Leverkusen, Union Berlin are winless. However, they drew the last one, registering a first clean sheet in four meetings with Leverkusen.
The visitors are also coming off their first clean sheet in the league, having drawn 0-0 with Hamburger last time out. As they haven't had midweek activity, Union Berlin will be looking to build on a run of two unbeaten outings, having earlier beaten Eintracht Frankfurt 4-3.
They’ve actually lost only three of their last 10 away league games. On their last five visits to Leverkusen, Union Berlin drew three and lost two.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.88% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin with odds of 1.7 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin is 28.67% with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 40.88% | 1.7 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.63% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen | 15.24% | 4.75 at Unibet |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
|
11
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
E. Palacios
ForwardP. Schick
A. Markgraf
MidfielderL. Burcu
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
P. Schick
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Grimaldo
(7 Goals)
D. Doekhi
(5 Goals)
E. Poku
(4 Assists)
A. Ilic
(5 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Key Points
- Three of five meetings between these teams in Leverkusen were drawn.
- Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last six games, but four were drawn.
- Union Berlin suffered only three defeats in 10 away league matches.
- Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in six home league matches against Union Berlin.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction
Across all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have the edge in this game, and playing at home makes them the favorites. They’ve only lost once to Union Berlin in the last 15 meetings. However, Union Berlin are not to be overlooked, especially in regard to away matches in the Bundesliga.
The visitors have only lost three of their last 11 league matches away from home. They come here to meet a Leverkusen side that has also not been doing well. We do appreciate Leverkusen’s unbeaten run in their last six matches. Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.55 | 1.65 | +6.5% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.1 | -2.4% |
| Union Berlin wins | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 60.6% (-3.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
