Nigeria vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
The Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium will host a mouth-watering matchup between two major contenders in midweek, when Nigeria meet Morocco in the semi-final of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. The winner of this clash between the Super Eagles and Atlas Lions will face either Senegal or Egypt in the grand final on January 18. Check out our match prediction below!
After failing to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Nigeria entered the 2025 AFCON with one simple goal: to win the continental title for the fourth time in their history. So far, Eric Chelle’s side have risen to the occasion and enter the final four as arguably the most impressive team in the competition thanks to their star-studded attack spearheaded by Victor Osimhen.
However, the three-time champions now have to go up against the highest-ranked nation across the entire CAF region and the favourites for the title, Morocco, who are seeking their second continental crown. The North Africans also have the edge in this contest, having won three of the previous five AFCON matches against this opponent - but can they stop the rampant West Africans in this one? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Nigeria v Morocco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 2.95 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.94 | 2.94 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.86 | 2.94 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.9 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.88 | 2.14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Morocco?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Morocco match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Nigeria and Morocco in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.89% for a win of Nigeria against Morocco with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Morocco is 20% with odds of 3.06 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Morocco vs Nigeria with odds of 2.26 at Tonybet.
Nigeria - Morocco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria Morocco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 43.1% | 2.26 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.54% | 2.53 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Morocco/Morocco | 15.86% | 3.5 at LSbet |
Nigeria vs Morocco Form
Nigeria and Morocco Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
11 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Nigeria - Morocco: Form Analysis
Nigeria stormed into the knockout stages of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations with a perfect three wins from three games in the group stages, including victories over Tunisia, Tanzania and Uganda.
The Super Eagles then delivered their best performance of the competition, thrashing Mozambique 4-0 in the last 16, before ousting Algeria 2-0 in the quarter-final this past weekend.
The West African nation has scored two or more in each of their five games in this competition and enter the semis as the highest-scoring team at AFCON 2025 with a staggering 14 goals.
Nigeria is the only team left in the competition with a perfect record of five wins in five games!
Meanwhile, Morocco eased into the Round of 16 by winning Group A with seven points in their three games. They defeated the Comoros 2-0 and Zambia 3-0, either side of a 1-1 stalemate against Mali.
The Atlas Lions then edged a plucky Tanzania 1-0 in the last 16, before producing a dominant performance to eliminate Cameroon 2-0 in the quarter-final. The host nation has only conceded one goal in this competition - the fewest of any of the semi-finalists.
The North African giants are now unbeaten in a whopping 22 matches across all competitions, with all but two of those games ending in victory. They have also scored two or more goals in five of their last seven games ahead of this one.
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Nigeria against Morocco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Obasogie
F. Uzoho
DefenderO. Igoh
Z. Sanusi
C. Awaziem
MidfielderF. Dele-Bashiru
M. Usman
T. Nnadi
S. Chukwueze
C. Ejuke
S. Lawal
E. Akinsanmiro
M. Simon
P. Onuachu
M. Harrar
M. El Kajoui
DefenderA. Ait Boudlal
A. Salah Eddine
M. Chibi
Y. Belammari
J. El Yamiq
MidfielderO. Targhalline
C. Talbi
S. Amrabat
ForwardH. Igamane
E. Ben Seghir
I. Akhomach
S. Rahimi
Y. En-Nesyri
Missing players
A. Ounahi
Nigeria & Morocco Squad Analysis
After scoring the opener and setting up Nigeria’s second against Algeria, Victor Osimhen now has six direct goal contributions in this competition (4 goals, 2 assists). The Super Eagles have never lost an AFCON match in which the Gala striker has scored or assisted.
Osimhen has had plenty of support so far, especially from Ademola Lookman, who has three goals and four assists - the most at AFCON 2025. Akor Adams has also contributed to four goals, netting two and setting up two.
However, Eric Chelle’s side will have to make do without the services of their skipper, Wilfred Ndidi, due to suspension, which should see Raphael Onyedika start this match. Cyriel Dessers is out injured, while Bright Osayi-Samuel has a knock and is a doubt.
Brahim Diaz is the highest goal scorer at AFCON 2025 heading into the semi-finals!
The Real Madrid attacker has five goals and has scored in every match in this competition. Four of his goals have been crucial openers, and he is now just one shy of Ahmed Farass’ AFCON record of six.
Ayoub El Kaabi has netted three times for the Atlas Lions in this tournament and set up Diaz for his goal against Cameroon. He will almost certainly be tasked with leading the line in this match.
Azzedine Ounahi, unfortunately, suffered a serious injury during the group stage that ended his AFCON campaign, while skipper Romain Saiss only saw 17 minutes of action before his campaign ended with a knee injury against the Comoros.
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Morocco
A. Lookman
(4 Goals)
,
V. Osimhen
(4 Goals)
B. Diaz
(5 Goals)
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
A. Ounahi
(2 Assists)
Nigeria - Morocco Key Points
- Three of Nigeria’s five games in this competition ended with both teams scoring.
- Nigeria are the highest scoring team in this competition with 14 goals.
- Nigeria have scored two or more goals in each of their AFCON 2025 games.
- Morocco have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven matches in all competitions.
- Morocco have only failed to score in one of their last 22 games.
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Our Nigeria vs Morocco Prediction
While Nigeria have kept clean sheets in both their knockout matches in this competition, their undeniable strength has been their attack, which has already scored a tournament-high 14 goals coming into this clash.
Morocco have only conceded once at AFCON 2025, but they have not come up against a forward line with the quality of the Super Eagles. Given the wealth of attacking talent on display here, we fancy both sides to get on the scoresheet. Our Nigeria vs Morocco prediction is BTTS.
Nigeria vs Morocco Alternative Predictions
Ademola Lookman to score or assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nigeria Morocco
| Nigeria vs Morocco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 3.55 | 4.05 | +14.1% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.06 | -4.4% |
| Morocco wins | 2.2 | 2.26 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Morocco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 44.2% (-1.2%)
Nigeria vs Morocco - FAQs
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Nigeria and Morocco will take place on January 14 at 20:00 GMT.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Nigeria and Morocco will be played at the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Nigeria and Morocco will be broadcast on Supersport across most of sub-Saharan Africa. UK and US viewers can tune in to Channel 4 and beIN Sports, respectively.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our AFCON 2025 livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
