Senegal vs Egypt Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations’ semi-finals are set to kick off with a smouldering showdown soaked in significance between two African superpowers - it’s Senegal vs Egypt in Tangier on Wednesday afternoon. The winner of this match between the Lions of Teranga and the Pharaohs will meet either Nigeria or Morocco in the grand final on January 18. Check out our match prediction below.
Few can forget the nail-biting finish to the 2021 AFCON final, where Senegal beat Egypt in a tense penalty shootout to claim their first-ever continental title. A month later, the Teranga Lions also denied the North Africans entry to the 2022 FIFA World Cup, again ousting them on spot kicks in the CAF qualifiers in DR Congo.
Fair to say, then, this is about more than just progression for the Pharaohs; it is an opportunity to exact their revenge against a side that has gotten the better of them in recent times. This will be the fifth time these teams meet at the AFCON finals, and there is nothing to split them, with each side having won two games apiece, while one ended level. Let’s get into the match prediction!
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Senegal v Egypt Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.01 | 4.77 |
|
|
2.03 | 2.98 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.95 | 3 | 4.75 |
|
|
2.02 | 2.94 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Egypt?
Our prediction for the Senegal vs Egypt match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Senegal and Egypt in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.45% for a win of Senegal against Egypt with odds of 2.1 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Egypt is 40.26% with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Egypt vs Senegal with odds of 4.77 at Melbet.
Senegal - Egypt Prediction and Best Odds:
| Senegal Egypt Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 41.45% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.38% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | 1.7 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Senegal/Senegal | 18.74% | 3.3 at LSbet |
Senegal vs Egypt Form
Senegal and Egypt Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Senegal vs Egypt Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
25 Mar 2022 - World Cup
6 Feb 2022 - AFCON
Senegal - Egypt: Form Analysis
Senegal have been excellent at AFCON 2025 and are the second-favourite to clinch the title this year. They romped through the group stage, finishing top of Group D with seven points in their three games (W2 D1).
In the knockout stages, the Teranga Lions cruised past Sudan 3-1 in the Round of 16 before delivering a resilient performance to overcome Mali 1-0 in the quarter-final here in Tangier last weekend.
The West Africans have now won 10 of their last 12 matches across all competitions (D1 L1) and kept clean sheets in eight games during that period, including three in five here in Morocco.
All of Senegal’s AFCON 2025 matches have been played in Tangier!
Meanwhile, Egypt also won their group but were far less convincing. They needed a late goal to defeat Zimbabwe and a contentious penalty to overcome South Africa before playing out a stalemate against Angola.
The Pharaohs’ last-16 clash went to extra time before they netted twice against Benin, while in their quarter-final, they remained solid in defence to hold off reigning champions the Ivory Coast 3-2.
The North African powerhouse have only won four of their last 10 games in regulation time, and they have only managed to keep two clean sheets during this period. Notably, six of Egypt’s nine goals in this tournament have come in the second half or in extra time.
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Senegal against Egypt Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
M. Diaw
Y. Diouf
DefenderM. Sarr
A. Mendy
A. Seck
I. Jakobs
MidfielderP. Ciss
L. Camara
P. Sarr
ForwardI. Mbaye
B. Dia
C. Sabaly
H. Diallo
I. Sarr
C. Ndiaye
M. Shoubir
A. El Shenawy
DefenderA. Eid
M. Ismail
K. Sobhi
MidfielderM. Lasheen
M. Saber
M. Shehata
ForwardM. Fathi
S. Mohsen
I. Adel
O. Faisal
M. Mohamed
Trezeguet
Zizo
Senegal & Egypt Squad Analysis
While he did not register a goal contribution in the quarter-final, Sadio Mane has notched up three assists and a goal in this competition. He now has 19 goal contributions at the AFCON over the past decade - more than any other player in the competition across this period.
Everton’s Iliman Ndiaye was the player who came up with the winner against Mali last weekend, which may be enough for him to be given the nod to start this match by Pape Thiaw ahead of Ismaila Sarr.
The big question for Thiaw, though, will be around who should lead the line in this match between Habib Diallo and Nicolas Jackson, both of whom have been unused substitutes in two games each in this competition.
Mo Salah reached 100 goal contributions for Egypt in the victory over the Ivory Coast!
The Liverpool attacker has once again lived up to his nickname “the Egyptian King” here in Morocco, as he has scored four goals and provided one assist in four games, with three of his goals being match-winners.
Omar Marmoush picked up his second goal of AFCON 2025 against the Elephants at the weekend, and Hossam Hassan is likely to maintain faith in the Manchester City man to lead the line here.
Ahmed Fatouh replaced the injured Mohamed Hamdi in the Pharaohs backline over the weekend, but he did score an own goal in that match and will need a more assured performance against the Senegalese attack.
Most goals and assists
Senegal
Egypt
P. Gueye
(3 Goals)
M. Salah
(4 Goals)
S. Mane
(3 Assists)
E. Ashour
(2 Assists)
Senegal - Egypt Key Points
- Senegal have only conceded two goals in five matches in this competition.
- Senegal have kept eight clean sheets in their last 12 games in all competitions.
- Egypt have kept clean sheets in two of their last four games in this competition.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last five games between these sides.
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Our Senegal vs Egypt Prediction
While Senegal have been free-flowing in attack in this competition, they have also been solid in defence, conceding only two goals in their five matches, which is the second-fewest of the four semi-finalists.
Egypt have allowed four goals in this competition, but they showed excellent composure and strength at the back in the second half against the Ivory Coast. The last five matches between these sides delivered fewer than three goals in regulation time, and we feel that will be the case in this one as well. Our Senegal vs Egypt prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Senegal vs Egypt Alternative Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Senegal have only conceded two goals in five matches in this competition, while Egypt have kept clean sheets in two of their last four games in this competition. Additionally, the BTTS (NO) market has landed in each of the last five matches between these sides.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Senegal Egypt
| Senegal vs Egypt | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 2.15 | 2.1 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.1 | -1.6% |
| Egypt wins | 3.8 | 4.77 | +25.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Senegal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 47.6% (1.1%)
Senegal vs Egypt - FAQs
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Senegal and Egypt will take place on January 14 at 17:00 GMT.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Senegal and Egypt will be played at the Tangier Grand Stadium in Morocco.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations semi-final between Senegal and Egypt will be broadcast on Supersport across most of sub-Saharan Africa. UK and US viewers can tune in to Channel 4 and beIN Sports, respectively.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our AFCON 2025 livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
