Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Needing a win for contrasting reasons, Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen meet on Tuesday in a Bundesliga matchday 17 fixture. This match between the 13th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the fourth-placed ‘Black and Reds’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals scored.
Hamburg’s 16 points from 16 matches (W4, D4, L8) put them four points above the relegation zone before this round. Leverkusen have 29 points (W9, D2, L5) and are one of the three teams on the same points, while being three points above seventh.
A 2-1 away loss at Freiburg last weekend meant Hamburg have now lost two of their last three league games (D1). With their buffer to the relegation zone getting narrower, Hamburg would be keen to summon their best form.
That was the case in home games, as Hamburg were beaten just once at this venue in their last five Bundesliga matches. To go with that, they are unbeaten in six of their last seven home league games.
Leverkusen were thrashed 4-1 at home by Stuttgart last week to continue their slide. The visitors have now lost three of their last five league games, raising concerns over their ability to achieve European qualification.
Their away form hasn’t been spectacular, with two defeats from their last four league trips, although they won four of the last six away league games.
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Hamburg v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.65 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.56 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.56 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2.04 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/01/2026 between Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.06% for a win of Hamburg against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen is 21.91% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburg with odds of 2.11 at 888Starz.
Hamburg - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 46.03% | 2.11 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.76% | 2.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 18.73% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sept 2017 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2017 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Fernandes
DefenderD. Elfadli
S. Nandja
G. Gocholeishvili
W. Mikelbrencis
M. Muheim
MidfielderB. Jatta
ForwardF. Balde
Y. Poulsen
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Bade
Arthur
T. Oermann
L. Vazquez
MidfielderE. Fernandez
J. Hofmann
ForwardE. Poku
E. Ben Seghir
Missing players
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Jatta
N. Remberg
A. Gronbaek
ForwardY. Poulsen
R. Glatzel
A. Rossing Lelesiit
E. Ben Seghir
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Bayer Leverkusen
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
Hamburg - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Seven of Hamburg’s last eight league games saw both teams score goals.
- Hamburg’s last four home Bundesliga matches have also produced BTTS.
- Leverkusen’s matches this season averaged 3.63 goals per match.
- Hamburg’s last eight league matches averaged 3.25 goals per game.
- In six of their last seven away league games, Leverkusen saw more than two goals scored each time.
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Our Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
This is the first meeting between these teams since February 2018, but both teams come into this fixture with a lot riding on the result. Hamburg are hovering around the relegation zone, and another loss could make things tougher. They have an impressive home record, though, which may keep Leverkusen on their toes. Three defeats in their last five league games stalled Leverkusen’s momentum as they look to stay in the top four race.
This game could prove to be exciting, and our Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Bayer Leverkusen
| Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 3.45 | 3.7 | +7.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2 | 2.11 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.4% (-2.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
