Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will hope to stay in control of their second place in the Bundesliga when they play Werder Bremen in a matchday 17 fixture at Signal Iduna Park. This match on Tuesday between the second-placed BVB and the 11th-placed Green-Whites comes with our prediction of under 3.5 goals.
Dortmund’s 33 points (W9, D6, L1) put them behind Bayern Munich in the standings, while Werder’s 17 points from 15 matches (W4, D5, L6) keep them five points above the relegation zone.
A late goal helped Dortmund save the day in a 3-3 away draw at Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend. That maintained their record of just one loss all season long, but four draws in the last seven league games (W3) is a concern.
There are no such problems at home, as Dortmund won five of their seven Bundesliga (D2) matches played at this venue this season. That run includes five clean sheets, a clear indicator of their strong defensive pedigree.
Werder couldn’t play since last Christmas, as their game against Hoffenheim was postponed. That would have given the visitors enough time to work on their poor recent record.
They are winless across their last five league matches (D2, L3) and even their away form is uninspiring, as Werder were winless in their last six away league games (D3, L3).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5.4 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.9 |
|
|
1.42 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.8 | 6.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/01/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.11% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Werder Bremen with odds of 1.44 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen is 43.36% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 8.2 at 888Starz.
Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 47.11% | 1.44 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 51.83% | 2.5 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 21.76% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Form
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against Werder Bremen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderF. Mane
D. Svensson
J. Bellingham
K. Adeyemi
E. Can
S. Ozcan
J. Brandt
ForwardS. Guirassy
K. Hein
DefenderJ. Malatini
MidfielderC. Puertas
S. Alvero
O. Deman
P. Covic
ForwardJ. Milosevic
K. Topp
S. Mbangula Tshifunda
Missing players
M. Weiser
M. Wober
F. Agu
ForwardV. Boniface
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
R. Schmid
(7 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen Key Points
- Dortmund’s league matches averaged 2.75 goals per game this season.
- Werder’s last eight league fixtures averaged 2.38 goals per game.
- Six of Dortmund’s last seven home league games saw under 3.5 goals scored.
- In six of their last eight league games, Werder saw fewer than four goals scored.
- Four of the last five matches between these sides produced three or fewer goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Dortmund clawed back late against Eintracht Frankfurt to win a point, but it was a lost chance to move closer to leaders Bayern Munich. It was also a rare high-scoring game involving Dortmund, as their matches this season have generally seen fewer than 3.5 goals on a regular basis. Werder haven’t played since before Christmas and may look to keep it tight, as they chase a win to get out of their winless streak.
It could be another tight game for the hosts, and our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen
| Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.33 | 1.44 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 5.4 | -3.6% |
| Werder Bremen wins | 8.25 | 8.2 | -0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 69.4% (-5.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
