Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
14/01/2026 12:30
St. Pauli

Prediction :

 

Draw or St. Pauli

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

It's a relegation six-pointer between Wolfsburg and St Pauli on matchday 17, as the teams look to boost their morale and points. This match on Wednesday in Wolfsburg between the 14th-placed Wolves and the 16th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of a draw or away win.

Wolfsburg's 15 points (W4, D3, L9) put them just three points above the relegation zone heading into this match. St Pauli (W3, D3, L9) holds the final spot, with a two-point gap to the safety zone.

An 8-1 mauling at the hands of leaders Bayern Munich away at Allianz Arena started the year in the worst possible way for Wolfsburg. They have now lost six of their last nine competitive games, including two in a row.

Playing at home hasn't worked to their advantage this season, as the Wolves could win only one of their nine home competitive matches (D2, L6).

St Pauli got a few more days to prepare for this match after their game against Leipzig was postponed. Prior to that, they went into the season break with two wins and two draws in all competitions.

One of those wins came in the DFB Pokal away from home, followed by consecutive draws. With their recent record against Wolfsburg reading seven draws in the last eight competitive head-to-heads, there's hope for the visitors.

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Wolfsburg v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.89 3.6 4.5
Melbet
1.85 3.58 4.3
Betwinner
1.82 3.64 4.36
Bet365
1.85 3.6 4.33
Roobet
1.85 3.5 4.2
Check all Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Wolfsburg and St. Pauli?

Our prediction for the Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli match is: draw or St. Pauli.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Wolfsburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.6% for a win of Wolfsburg against St. Pauli with odds of 1.89 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli is 28.63% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.76% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg with odds of 4.72 at 888Starz.

Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:

Wolfsburg St. Pauli Prediction Probability Odds
St. Pauli wins 37.76% 4.72 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 54.87% 2.42 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 64.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli 15.75% 10 at LSbet

Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Form

Wolfsburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 -24
18 St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 -31

Wolfsburg and St. Pauli Last Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Last matches
L D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
Wolfsburg

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  1
Union Berlin

30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  1
Union Berlin

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Hoffenheim

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Holstein Kiel

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  3
Stuttgart
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
Wolfsburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg

30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Wolfsburg

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  1
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
L W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Werder Bremen

21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
St. Pauli

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Heidenheim

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
St. Pauli

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
St. Pauli

29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
St. Pauli
L D L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Werder Bremen

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Heidenheim

23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Union Berlin

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  4
Mönchengladbach

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

St. Pauli
2 :  2
Hoffenheim

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  3
Hoffenheim
L L L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
St. Pauli

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
St. Pauli

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
St. Pauli

29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
St. Pauli

9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
St. Pauli

Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolfsburg

0 %

Draw

100 %

St. Pauli

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
St. Pauli

26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11

Wolfsburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
K. Grabara
26
S. Kumbedi
15
M. Jenz
4
K. Koulierakis
25
A. Zehnter
31
Y. Gerhardt
27
M. Arnold
24
C. Eriksen
10
L. Majer
39
P. Wimmer
17
D. Pejcinovic
28
M. Pereira Lage
26
R. Jones
6
J. Sands
16
J. Fujita
21
L. Ritzka
8
E. Smith
11
A. Pyrka
3
K. Mets
5
H. Wahl
25
A. Dzwigala
22
N. Vasilj

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

St. Pauli

Substitutes

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Goalkeeper

P. Pervan

Defender

K. Fischer

S. Kumbedi 73'

D. Vavro

Midfielder

P. Hensel

V. Souza

K. Paredes

A. Zehnter 83'

A. Daghim

P. Wimmer 73'

M. Svanberg

Y. Gerhardt 83'

Forward

M. Amoura

L. Majer 61'

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

F. Stevens

T. Ando

J. Robatsch

M. Saliakas

Midfielder

L. Oppie

L. Ritzka 68'

Forward

O. Afolayan

A. Ceesay

M. Pereira Lage 90'

M. Kaars

R. Jones 68'

Missing players

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Defender

Rogerio

J. Maehle

Midfielder

B. Dardai

Forward

J. Wind

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

S. Spari

Defender

D. Nemeth

Forward

A. Hountondji

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolfsburg
CD Huachipato St. Pauli
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Pejcinovic (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Luxembourg D. Sinani (5 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark C. Eriksen (8 Assists)
Best assists
Japan J. Fujita (3 Assists)

Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Key Points

  1. Wolfsburg won just two of their last nine competitive matches, losing six.
  2. At home, the Wolves won just one of their nine competitive matches this season, losing six.
  3. St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last four competitive games, winning and drawing two each.
  4. On the road, St. Pauli avoided defeat in their last three trips, winning one and drawing two.
  5. The last two Bundesliga matches between these sides last season ended in draws.
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Our Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction

Wolfsburg couldn't have imagined the 8-1 humbling at the hands of Bayern Munich to kick off their second half of the season. With back-to-back defeats, they are struggling to move further from the relegation zone. Even their home form has been dire, which could boost St Pauli's hopes of getting something out of this tie. A win could get them out of the relegation zone, although they may settle for a draw.

Wolfsburg's struggles could continue, and our Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli prediction is draw or St. Pauli.

Prediction :

 

Draw or St. Pauli

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolfsburg St. Pauli

Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Wolfsburg wins 1.96 1.89 -3.6%
Draw 3.65 3.65 0%
St. Pauli wins 3.95 4.72 +19.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • St. Pauli is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 19.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 25.3% and is now 21.2% (-4.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction