Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
It's a relegation six-pointer between Wolfsburg and St Pauli on matchday 17, as the teams look to boost their morale and points. This match on Wednesday in Wolfsburg between the 14th-placed Wolves and the 16th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of a draw or away win.
Wolfsburg's 15 points (W4, D3, L9) put them just three points above the relegation zone heading into this match. St Pauli (W3, D3, L9) holds the final spot, with a two-point gap to the safety zone.
An 8-1 mauling at the hands of leaders Bayern Munich away at Allianz Arena started the year in the worst possible way for Wolfsburg. They have now lost six of their last nine competitive games, including two in a row.
Playing at home hasn't worked to their advantage this season, as the Wolves could win only one of their nine home competitive matches (D2, L6).
St Pauli got a few more days to prepare for this match after their game against Leipzig was postponed. Prior to that, they went into the season break with two wins and two draws in all competitions.
One of those wins came in the DFB Pokal away from home, followed by consecutive draws. With their recent record against Wolfsburg reading seven draws in the last eight competitive head-to-heads, there's hope for the visitors.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Wolfsburg v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.89 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
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|
|
1.85 | 3.58 | 4.3 |
|
|
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1.82 | 3.64 | 4.36 |
|
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
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|
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1.85 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolfsburg and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli match is: draw or St. Pauli.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Wolfsburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.6% for a win of Wolfsburg against St. Pauli with odds of 1.89 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli is 28.63% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.76% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg with odds of 4.72 at 888Starz.
Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolfsburg St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 37.76% | 4.72 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.87% | 2.42 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 15.75% | 10 at LSbet |
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Form
Wolfsburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
Wolfsburg and St. Pauli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
Wolfsburg against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
P. Pervan
DefenderK. Fischer
D. Vavro
MidfielderP. Hensel
V. Souza
K. Paredes
A. Daghim
M. Svanberg
M. Amoura
B. Voll
DefenderF. Stevens
T. Ando
J. Robatsch
M. Saliakas
MidfielderL. Oppie
O. Afolayan
A. Ceesay
M. Kaars
Missing players
Rogerio
J. Maehle
MidfielderB. Dardai
ForwardJ. Wind
S. Spari
DefenderD. Nemeth
ForwardA. Hountondji
Most goals and assists
Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Key Points
- Wolfsburg won just two of their last nine competitive matches, losing six.
- At home, the Wolves won just one of their nine competitive matches this season, losing six.
- St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last four competitive games, winning and drawing two each.
- On the road, St. Pauli avoided defeat in their last three trips, winning one and drawing two.
- The last two Bundesliga matches between these sides last season ended in draws.
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Our Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction
Wolfsburg couldn't have imagined the 8-1 humbling at the hands of Bayern Munich to kick off their second half of the season. With back-to-back defeats, they are struggling to move further from the relegation zone. Even their home form has been dire, which could boost St Pauli's hopes of getting something out of this tie. A win could get them out of the relegation zone, although they may settle for a draw.
Wolfsburg's struggles could continue, and our Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli prediction is draw or St. Pauli.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolfsburg St. Pauli
| Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg wins | 1.96 | 1.89 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.65 | 0% |
| St. Pauli wins | 3.95 | 4.72 | +19.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.3% and is now 21.2% (-4.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.