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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Just a point separates Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund as the race for top four heats up in the Bundesliga ahead of their matchday 12 fixture on Saturday. This match at BayArena between the third-placed ‘Die Werkself’ and the fourth-placed ‘Die Borussen’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Leverkusen’s 23 points (W7, D2, L2) see them start this round two points behind Leipzig, while being one point ahead of Dortmund (W6, D4, L1). With teams from second to fifth separated by just three points and Bayern Munich running away with a six-point lead at the top, the race to be their closest challenger is heating up!
Both teams had morale-boosting wins in the midweek Champions League, which adds an extra layer of intrigue. Leverkusen’s impressive run at this venue can work to their advantage, but can Dortmund spoil the party? Dortmund’s revival has been impressive, but they haven’t had the same winning momentum as their hosts. Will that hinder their chances? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
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2.45 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.62% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.6 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund is 30.81% with odds of 3.76 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.74 at 888Starz.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
|
4
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
6 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Leverkusen won 2-0 away at Manchester City in the midweek Champions League fixture to make it four competitive wins in a row. Going further back, they have had eight wins out of their last ten games in all competitions, losing only twice.
Their league form is equally impressive, as Leverkusen won six of their last seven. The record is even better at home, as the hosts won four of their last five Bundesliga games at this venue, drawing the other.
Leverkusen won only two of their last nine head-to-head matches (D2, L5).
Dortmund won 4-0 at home against Villarreal in their Champions League fixture to end a three-game winless run (D2, L1) in all competitions immediately prior. In the league, Dortmund drew their last two matches against Hamburger (1-1) and Stuttgart (3-3).
Their away form has been indifferent, as Dortmund won just one of their last three league trips (D1, L1), with that defeat coming against leaders Bayern Munich (2-1). Dortmund also have happy memories of this venue, having won 4-2 in their last visit here in May.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
L. Vazquez
MidfielderA. Tape
E. Fernandez
Bayer Leverkusen & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Leverkusen have no new injuries, but goalkeeper Janis Blaswich, who missed the Champions League fixture, remains doubtful for this game as well. Axel Tape is back in training but is unlikely to be available for selection here.
The hosts lined up in a defensive 5-3-2 formation in the Champions League but have otherwise lined up in a 3-4-3 system with Patrik Schick starting slightly ahead.
Schick has four goals in his last four club games for Leverkusen.
Dortmund also came out of their Champions League match unscathed but will remain without Niklas Sule for this trip. Maximilian Beier missed the last game but should be back in frame for this trip.
The visitors are likely to stick to their 3-4-3 formation, but it could be with two forwards playing slightly ahead in the final third. Serhou Guirassy could be one of those, as the Dortmund forward looks to add to his count of five league goals in the campaign. Among others, Karim Adeyemi and Beier had scored three goals each in the season.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
P. Schick
(8 Goals)
, 
A. Grimaldo
(8 Goals)
A. Garcia
(4 Assists)
, 
E. Poku
(4 Assists)
,
A. Grimaldo
(4 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(5 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Leverkusen won eight of their last ten matches in all competitions, losing only two.
- In the Bundesliga, Leverkusen won six of their last seven fixtures.
- At home, Leverkusen won four of their last five league games, drawing the other.
- Dortmund failed to win four of their last six league games.
- Away from home, Dortmund could win only one of their last three league trips.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Both teams come into this fixture on the back of impressive form, which makes this an intriguing game. Leverkusen won eight of their last ten competitive games, including four in a row. Dortmund also won in the midweek, but that was preceded by a three-game run in which they failed to win. Their away form could be the one under the scanner, as Dortmund have had mixed fortunes recently.
The hosts could still end up tipping the game in their favour, and our Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Patrik Schick to score anytime
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund German Bundesliga match will be broadcast live on television in Sky Deutschland in Germany. In the UK, it is shown by BBC and Sky Sports.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our German Bundesliga Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
