Tip Arsenal - Norwich
Arsenal have come from a tough run of matches and after registering back to back victories, will be hoping to boost their chances when they host Norwich City. Ahead of the two sides’ clash on Wednesday, Arsenal have managed 43 points and are in ninth place while Norwich are bottom of the table with 21 points. For the Gunners, a place in Europe is still a reality. They are six points behind sixth place at the time of writing but even seventh could be good enough, depending on who wins the FA Cup. That could be Arsenal who reached the semi-finals with a labored win over Sheffield United. A growing injury list could be detrimental to their plans. Defender David Luiz joined the list in the win over Sheffield United, but the squad has enough cover for that. After a run of four straight away matches since football returned, Arsenal will get to play at home; they have a much better form at the Emirates and they will look to get three points from this game. They are unbeaten in the last five home league matches and have won four of those. Overall, seven of their ten league wins this season have come at the Emirates. hey have only failed one of their home league matches – the 3-0 loss to Manchester City. Defensively, Arsenal are still shaky though; they were troubled time and again by Sheffield United, especially with set-pieces. Having key men, including goalkeeper Bernd Leno and defender Pablo Mari out injured, they will lack the needed leadership at the back. They have just one clean sheet since football returned, but have scored in three of the four.
While Arsenal are having their troubles up in mid table, Norwich City are fighting a relegation battle and they are not doing so well. After 31 matches, they are seven points away from safety and their run in recent matches leaves a lot to be desired. Norwich have lost all their three matches since the league resumed. They fought hard but were eliminated from the FA Cup by Manchester United in their weekend game. Going to this clash, they will be a bit jaded, having played for 120 minutes in their FA Cup but the advantage over Arsenal is that they will have rested an extra day. Norwich have just one win in their last nine matches – a 1-0 home victory over Leicester in February. Their attack has not done so well during the period, as in six of the nine matches, they have failed to score. The team has also not done well defensively; they have played 36 matches this season, and have just five clean sheets. In the Premier League, Norwich remains the side with the least goals scored (25) and with 56 league goals conceded, only Aston Villa have conceded more. Norwich have managed just one win in their 15 away matches in the Premier League – a 2-0 victory at Everton in November - earning just six points, the worst total in the Premier League this season. They have lost 11 of the 15 and failed to score in 10. The team’s top scorer, Teemu Pukki last scored in January, against Tottenham, but was on target against Arsenal in the reverse fixture as the two sides drew 2-2. However, his last two goals have both been penalties and he hasn't scored in open play since December.
Key points Arsenal - Norwich
Norwich City have failed to score in six of the last nine matches.
Arsenal have one clean sheet in four matches since football returned.
Arsenal have won four of their last five home matches in the league.
Norwich have scored the least goals in the league this season.
Arsenal have scored in all but one of their home league matches this season.
Conclusion Arsenal - Norwich
Arsenal have their troubles in the season but not as much as Norwich, who have now lost all their three ;eague matches after the restart. Norwich have been poor in both defence and attack and going to face Arsenal, they will miss defender Timm Klose due to suspension and Christoph Zimmermann, Sam Byram and Grant Hanley are also injured. Added to their poor scoring run and pressures in the relegation fight, we don’t back the visitors to take much from the Emirates. Arsenal have also had their fair share of tough times. Going to this game, they have not been scoring a lot of goals but have failed to score in just one of their 15 home league matches. Fortunately, they face a side not known for scoring lots of goals and whose lead scorer is also on a dry spell. Based on that, we are backing this game to yield under 2.5 goals.
Arsenal Norwich Prediction published on June 30, 2020