Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Alaves will hope to steer clear of the relegation zone when they host Atletico Madrid in a La Liga matchday 34 fixture on Saturday. This match at Mendizorrotza Stadium between the 17th-placed Babazorros and the third-placed Rojiblancos comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Alaves have 34 points and are two points above the relegation zone. Atletico’s 66 points put them six points behind Real Madrid and six points behind Athletic Bilbao.
A 1-0 home win over Real Sociedad last week was a priceless one for the hosts, helping them move out of the danger zone. They now have seven points from their last four league games and are picking up form at the right moment to save their season.
They have two wins from their last four home league matches, but what resonates with their matches is the nature of fewer goals.
Atletico come here on a high after a 3-0 home win over Rayo Vallecano last time. That’s a third win out of four matches (L1) for the Madrid-based club, who are set to finish in the top three.
They still need to improve their recent away form, as Atletico have won just two of their last seven away league games (W2, D2, L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Atletico Madrid match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Alavés and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.64% for a win of Alavés against Atletico Madrid with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Atletico Madrid is 19.44% with odds of 3.25 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Alavés with odds of 2.27 at 22bet.
Alavés - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 42.92% | 2.27 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.03% | 2.08 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 45% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 18.34% | 5 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Form
Alavés and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
76 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 38 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | -10 |
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2021 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
A. Sivera
DefenderF. Tenaglia
F. Garces
S. Mourino
MidfielderM. Sanchez
J. Jordan
T. Conechny
C. Benavidez
T. Conechny
ForwardC. Vicente
K. Garcia
J. Oblak
DefenderR. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
MidfielderM. Llorente
J. Galan
Koke
A. Correa
N. Molina
A. Sorloth
ForwardS. Lino
J. Alvarez
Substitutes
J. Owono
DefenderH. Novoa
A. Sedlar
M. Diarra
A. Pica
MidfielderC. Benavidez
J. Jordan
T. Conechny
T. Martinez
C. Martin
P. Cabanes
A. Villalibre
J. Musso
A. Gomis
DefenderC. Azpilicueta
R. Mandava
N. Molina
J. Gimenez
MidfielderA. Witsel
T. Lemar
Koke
A. Sorloth
A. Correa
S. Lino
Missing players
A. Abqar
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
K. Garcia
(13 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(24 Goals)
C. Vicente
(5 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(9 Assists)
Alavés - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Over their last eight league matches, Alaves’ fixtures average 1.75 goals per game and only Athletic have conceded fewer.
- At home this season, Alaves average 1.75 total goals per match, and only Getafe average fewer.
- Atletico’s away league matches average 2.19 goals per fixture and only five clubs average fewer.
- Alaves’ last 11 home league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- In ten of Atletico’s last 15 away league fixtures, fewer than three goals were scored.
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Our Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid are ten points behind Barcelona ahead of this round, and their title chances are perhaps up in the air. They can still aim to finish second, although the real aim could be to finish the season on a high. Alaves, on the other hand, have a bigger incentive as they tackle relegation fears. They are only marginally above the bottom three clubs, and an adverse result could see them get dragged down into the red zone. This could be a tight game with fewer goals, and our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Atletico Madrid
| Alavés vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.05 | 2.05 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 48.8% (0.0%)
Use the Alavés vs. Atletico Madrid game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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