Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Kennedy Kechula | in AFCON Predictions
Uganda are back at the African Cup of Nations (AFCON) stage and will begin their 2025 campaign in Morocco on Tuesday against Tunisia. The two nations have been pooled in a tough Group C that also has Nigeria and Tanzania. Read on to find our prediction of this match at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdellah Olympique Annex in Rabat.
This is the first time in 47 years that these two countries are facing off in a competitive setting. The Carthage Eagles have never lost to the Cranes, posting wins in all their six previous meetings, posting a 16-1 aggregate win. Their most recent matchup was a friendly played in the lead-up to the 2017 Cup of Nations.
Tunisia, making their 22nd AFCON appearance, are heavily favored by bookmakers to not only win this opener but also make it out of their group. Meanwhile, the 1978 finalists, Uganda, are on their eighth appearance at AFCON, having missed the last two editions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tunisia v Uganda Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.1 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.1 | 6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tunisia and Uganda?
Our prediction for the Tunisia vs Uganda match is: Tunisia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/12/2025 between Tunisia and Uganda in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.39% for a win of Tunisia against Uganda with odds of 1.73 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tunisia vs Uganda is 20.96% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Uganda vs Tunisia with odds of 7 at LSbet.
Tunisia - Uganda Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tunisia Uganda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tunisia wins | 55.39% | 1.73 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.39% | 2.8 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Tunisia/Tunisia | 22.47% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Tunisia vs Uganda Form
Tunisia and Uganda's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Tunisia and Uganda Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Tunisia - Uganda: Form Analysis
Tunisia were poor in the last edition of AFCON. Coached then by Jalel Kadri, the North Africans were dumped out at the group stage, finishing bottom of their group without a win. They return to Africa’s biggest football showpiece looking to get over that poor campaign and possibly win another title.
Tunisia were crowned African champions on home soil 21 years ago and have never made the final since. Coached by Sami Trabelsi, the Eagles qualified for this year’s tournament after finishing second in their qualifying group.
They won three of six fixtures to end with 10 points, two behind group winners Comoros. Tunisia defeated Botswana 2-1 in their only build-up game before arriving in Morocco.
Uganda are making their eighth AFCON appearance, Tunisia their 22nd.
Uganda return to the AFCON after missing the last two editions. The East Africans were last at this stage in 2019, where they produced their best run in recent editions. Finalists in Ghana in 1978, the Cranes made it to the second round in Egypt six years ago.
Then, under Frenchman Sebastien Desabre, Uganda navigated through a tricky group that also had hosts Egypt and rising DR Congo. They lost just one of three games and will be looking for a similar run to qualify for the knockout rounds.
Paul Put’s men, who finished behind South Africa in their qualifying group, had mixed results in preparing for the tournament. Uganda played two friendlies in the last international window and won 2-1 against Chad before a 4-0 thumping by Morocco.
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Tunisia against Uganda Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Tunisia & Uganda Squad Analysis
Most of the players called up by Tunisia play their professional football in Europe. Hannibal Mejbri of Burnley headlines the squad, together with Ellyes Skhiri of Eintracht Frankfurt and Montassar Talbi of Lorient.
Trabelsi has named a squad blending experience and youth. Yassine Meriah, Ali Maaloul, and Ferjani Sassi could all reach a century of appearances for their nation in Morocco.
Naim Sliti and Seifeddine Jaziri have scored a combined 25 goals for Tunisia and are the leading top scorers in the current squad.
Uganda called up veteran goalkeeper Dennis Onyango, 40, after four years out.
Uganda’s 28-man squad is filled with players plying their trade across the world. A majority, 16 to be exact, play in Africa, with five of those playing for Ugandan giants Vipers and KCCA.
Veteran keeper Dennis Onyango, who was present in Uganda’s last AFCON appearance six years ago, is the most capped player in the team with 82 appearances.
Midfielder Allan Okello has netted six goals for Uganda, and so too has Rogers Mato. The two are Uganda’s leading scorers in the current generation.
Most goals and assists
Tunisia
Uganda
E. Achouri
(2 Goals)
D. Omedi
(1 Goals)
H. Mejbri
(1 Assists)
,
A. Abdi
(1 Assists)
Tunisia - Uganda Key Points
- Uganda have lost twice in their last three outings.
- Tunisia haven’t lost in three games and have won twice.
- Tunisia have won all three previous meetings with Uganda.
- Uganda lost their opening AFCON game in five of the last seven appearances.
- Uganda manager Paul Put has never won an opening match at AFCON as coach.
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Our Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction
Our prediction for Tunisia v Uganda is that Tunisia wins. Tunisia have never lost against Uganda and have won each of the two nations’ three encounters. They also arrive for this latest meeting in better form, having won their last two games.
Uganda, on the other hand, haven’t played in over a month, having lost two of their latest three fixtures. What also has us convinced of a Tunisia victory is the off-field wrangles that have seen Uganda fail to have proper preparations. Latest reports have revealed that the Cranes haven’t held training in recent days.
Tunisia vs Uganda - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
In our second prediction for this match, we pick both teams getting on the scoresheet. Despite their recent off-field troubles, Uganda are a strong attacking team, and so too are Tunisia. With both teams out to make a statement victory to begin their campaigns, the chances of both defenses being breached are high.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tunisia Uganda
| Tunisia vs Uganda | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia wins | 1.73 | 1.7 | -1.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.1 | -11.4% |
| Uganda wins | 4.33 | 6.25 | +44.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Tunisia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 58.8% (1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Tunisia vs. Uganda game!
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Try your luck on this year's AFCON! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Tunisia vs Uganda - FAQs
This match will be played on Tuesday, 23 December.
This match will be played at the Olympique Stadium in Rabat, Morocco.
Fans in the Middle East and North Africa can follow all AFCON action live on beIN Sports, while SuperSport and Azam TV will air the match in Uganda. At Sportytrader you will have the minute-by-minute updates of this and other AFCON matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
