England - Championship
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by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
This next match prediction takes in a key Championship match as Swansea City host Leicester City. Just one point and two places in the table separate the Swans from the Foxes so who is most likely to come out on top in this battle between two seemingly evenly-matched opponents?
Both teams will be relatively pleased with the start that they have made to the season. Leicester sit in sixth spot in the table after eight games having taken 13 points from the 24 available so far. Swansea occupy eighth spot in the table, also having played eight games, but having taken 12 points from those matches.
Alan Sheehan's Swansea City come into this game with their recent form being a little inconsistent. The Swans were beaten 1-0 away by Birmingham City in the league, but prior had earned a 3-2 win over Nottm Forest in the Carabao Cup at home. Those two fixtures were followed by a 1-1 home draw with Millwall and a creditable 2-1 away win over Blackburn Rovers.
One positive for Marti Cifuentes Leicester is they come into this game unbeaten in their last six. However, they have drawn all their last four games. That includes two away draw, 2-2 at Oxford United and 1-1 at West Brom and two at home, 0-0 with Coventry and then in midweek a 1-1 draw with Wrexham.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.32 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Leicester match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Swansea and Leicester in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.66% for a win of Swansea against Leicester with odds of 2.6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Leicester is 44.17% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Swansea with odds of 2.8 at Betfred.
Swansea - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.17% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.94% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.02% | 5 at Unibet |
Swansea vs Leicester Form
Swansea and Leicester's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
21 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
|
18
|
17 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -4 |
Swansea and Leicester Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
17 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
17 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
26 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
10 Aug 2025 - Championship
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Swansea vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jan 2024 - Championship
21 Oct 2023 - Championship
21 Oct 2017 - Premier League
12 Feb 2017 - Premier League
27 Aug 2016 - Premier League
Swansea against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Santos
H. Souttar
B. Nelson
ForwardS. Mavididi
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Leicester
Z. Vipotnik
(8 Goals)
J. James
(3 Goals)
, 
I. Fatawu
(3 Goals)
Z. Inoussa
(3 Assists)
I. Fatawu
(3 Assists)
Swansea - Leicester Key Points
- Swansea City have drawn all of their last three home league games.
- Leicester have drawn all of their last four games in the Championship.
- Both teams have very similar scoring records, Leicester scoring ten, conceding seven, Swansea scoring nine, conceding seven.
- Leicester averages 1.25 goals scored per away game, Swansea 1.25 goals scored in home games.
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Our Swansea vs Leicester Prediction
Our prediction for the Swansea City vs. Leicester City Championship match is: A Draw.
This is one of those rare fixtures where all the data seems to point to one obvious result. Swansea have drawn their last three at home, Leicester their last four league games, both teams have the same average goals and both have very similar record this season with just one point separating them. As such, it makes sense to go with the data and back this one to finish as a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Leicester
| Swansea vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.7 | 2.32 | -14.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Leicester wins | 2.35 | 2.7 | +14.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 28.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Swansea vs. Leicester game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
