Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough and Stoke City will be battling for three key points in their next game, a round 23 Championship match. This game, hosted by Stoke, finds Middlesbrough second and the home team sitting seventh. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Stoke have been slowly coming back from their recent slump, which threw them out of the top six. The Potters are now on 41 points, two outside the promotion playoff places.
In this match they will be looking to go five unbeaten, with their latest outing having ended in a 0-0 draw with QPR. Home form should offer additional hope, the team having won five of the last 10 games there.
For Middlesbrough, though they maintain their place in automatic qualification, it hasn’t been a smooth ride. They are out of the FA Cup after a 3-1 defeat by Fulham, but they recovered with a 3-2 win at West Brom in the league.
That made it two straight wins in the Championship. Those are all the victories Boro have in their last seven matches across all competitions.
They have suffered four defeats during that period and also failed to score in four outings. In this fixture, though, Middlesbrough are unbeaten in three, winning twice and keeping two clean sheets.
Both Stoke and Middlesbrough have managed three wins in their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
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Stoke v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.3 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.36 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.28 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.3 | 2.46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Middlesbrough match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2026 between Stoke and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.42% for a win of Stoke against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.02 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Middlesbrough is 19.42% with odds of 3.36 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Stoke with odds of 2.55 at LSbet.
Stoke - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 40.42% | 3.02 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.42% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stoke | 17.92% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Form
Stoke and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Stoke and Middlesbrough Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Sept 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2022 - Championship
Stoke against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Fielding
DefenderE. Bocat
J. Dixon
J. Griffin
A. Cresswell
MidfielderR. Curley
T. Seko
S. Nzonzi
ForwardF. Fawunmi
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderF. Munroe
D. Fry
L. Castledine
S. Nypan
L. McCabe
ForwardC. Ibeh
S. Hansen
D. Burgzorg
Missing players
V. Johansson
D. Lenihan
A. Jones
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Middlesbrough
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
Stoke - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough failed to score in four of their last seven matches.
- Only two of Stoke City’s last 10 matches had both teams scoring.
- Stoke City kept four straight clean sheets ahead of this encounter.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between these two sides reported a clean sheet.
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Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Stoke City have momentum ahead of this game and will have a genuine belief that they can break into the top six this week. They are on a four-game unbeaten run across all competitions, all without conceding. The Potters, however, are winless in this fixture in the last three meetings.
Middlesbrough are chasing automatic promotion but haven't been doing well lately, including three losses in the last four away matches. In these teams’ recent matches, there has been a significant number of clean sheets, and we could have another here. So our prediction for Stoke City v Middlesbrough is BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Middlesbrough
| Stoke vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.87 | 3.02 | +5.2% |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.36 | +6.3% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.48 | 2.55 | +2.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.8% and is now 33.1% (-1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
