Watford vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Watford
21/01/2026 14:45
Portsmouth

Prediction :

 

Watford wins

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in Championship Predictions

Watford will welcome Portsmouth to Vicarage Road for a Championship match on Wednesday evening. The Hornets are 8th ahead of the midweek action while Pompey are 21st. Let’s break down the match and make our prediction.

Home cooking has been good for Watford so far, only Coventry and Ipswich have more home wins this season. They have lost just twice in their last 14 league games, away at Birmingham and in their most recent outing, at home to Millwall. 

That will have been a disappointing defeat, just their second home loss of the season, and costing them points against a fellow playoff contender. Fans will likely see this as a quick way to get back on the winning trail.

No Championship team has found the net on fewer occasions this season than Portsmouth. They have just eight away goals in 12 matches on the road but one was enough to see them pick up three points at Sheffield Wednesday in their most recent outing.

They took an early lead when they played Watford in the reverse fixture, and then had to come from behind to salvage a point in a 2-2 draw.

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Watford v Portsmouth Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.73 3.7 4.8
Melbet
1.8 3.6 4.56
Betwinner
1.72 3.6 4.8
Bet365
1.79 3.6 4.33
Roobet
1.8 3.55 4.4
Check all Watford vs Portsmouth odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Portsmouth?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Portsmouth match is: Watford wins

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2026 between Watford and Portsmouth in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.36% for a win of Watford against Portsmouth with odds of 1.85 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Portsmouth is 25.22% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Watford with odds of 4.8 at Stake.

Watford - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:

Watford Portsmouth Prediction Probability Odds
Watford wins 54.36% 1.85 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 51.72% 2.03 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Watford 26.27% 4.75 at Bet365

Watford vs Portsmouth Form

Watford and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12
18 Portsmouth
55 46 14 13 19 -15

Watford and Portsmouth Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Watford

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke
D W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Preston North End
W L D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Watford

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Watford
Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Portsmouth

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
5 :  0
Portsmouth

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Charlton Athletic

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
QPR

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth
W L W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Charlton Athletic

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
QPR

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Blackburn

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Bristol City

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
3 :  1
Millwall
L L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Portsmouth

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
5 :  0
Portsmouth

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Portsmouth

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Portsmouth

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Portsmouth

Watford vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

33 %

Draw

33 %

Portsmouth

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Watford

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Watford

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Portsmouth

Watford against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11

Watford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
E. Selvik
2
J. Ngakia
6
M. Pollock
25
J. Abankwah
16
M. Bola
5
H. Kyprianou
10
I. Louza
7
T. Ince
8
G. Chakvetadze
42
O. Maamma
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
9
C. Bishop
27
M. Alli
36
C. Chaplin
10
A. Segecic
22
Z. Swanson
21
A. Dozzell
3
C. Ogilvie
38
E. Adams
5
R. Poole
24
T. Devlin
1
N. Schmid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Portsmouth

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

K. Keben

M. Pollock 46'

Midfielder

E. Kayembe

J. Abankwah 81'

R. Vata

O. Maamma 64'

Forward

J. Morris

V. Semedo

N. Irankunda

T. Ince 81'

K. Baah

M. Doumbia

G. Chakvetadze 46'

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
C. Agu Goalkeeper

J. Bursik

Defender

J. Farrell

T. Devlin 83'

J. Williams

Z. Swanson 46'

I. Bowat

E. Adams 90'

Midfielder

L. Le Roux

A. Segecic 90'

J. Swift

M. Alli 90'

Forward

M. Kirk

O. Singerr

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Midfielder

P. Dwomoh

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Midfielder

M. Kosznovszky

Forward

F. Umeh Chibueze

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Portsmouth
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Segecic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (6 Assists)

Watford - Portsmouth Key Points

  1. Just 1st and 3rd have won more home games this season than Watford
  2. Portsmouth’s two away wins have come at bottom and second from bottom.
  3. The Hornets were unbeaten in 10 at home prior to their loss against Millwall.
  4. Pompey were beaten in this fixture last season, 1-2.
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Our Watford vs Portsmouth Prediction

Both teams are in need of the points in this one, though at different ends of the table. Watford are two points off a playoff spot at time of writing while Portsmouth are just one position ahead of the drop zone. Watford will be frustrated that they dropped points at home to Millwall last time out but they will see this as a great opportunity to get straight back on the winning trail. We are inclined to agree, so our Watford vs Portsmouth prediction is that Watford wins.

Prediction :

 

Watford wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Portsmouth

Watford vs Portsmouth Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Watford wins 1.67 1.85 +10.8%
Draw 3.7 3.75 +1.4%
Portsmouth wins 5.4 4.8 -11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Watford is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 10.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 54.1% (-5.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Portsmouth Prediction