Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Only the most optimistic Sunderland fans can have imagined the kind of 2025 their club has had. They are sixth in the Premier League and on Sunday the Black Cats are home to fellow newly-promoted side Leeds who are 16th in the table. Read our match prediction below.
Sunderland begin this set of fixtures just two points adrift of the Champions League qualifying positions. A win in their last game at Brighton rather than a goalless draw would have seen them in the top five. Now that's not bad for a club that began the year playing in the Championship.
The trend of newly-promoted clubs spending just a season in the Premier League looks like coming to an end. Leeds United have struggled for most of this season but their form has improved in recent weeks with a run of four games unbeaten that has taken them six points clear of the bottom three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Leeds match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Sunderland and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.32% for a win of Sunderland against Leeds with odds of 2.73 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Leeds is 34.9% with odds of 3.31 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Sunderland with odds of 2.88 at Betfred.
Sunderland vs Leeds Form
Sunderland and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
27 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
|
16
|
19 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -7 |
Sunderland and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
12 Dec 2023 - Championship
19 Aug 2017 - Championship
Sunderland - Leeds: Form Analysis
Sunderland are yet to lose a home league game this season. Only Arsenal in the Premier League also has that statistic. Five of their eight games played at the Stadium of Light have been won with 15 goals scored and only seven conceded.
They have been in the Champions League places this season but only one of their last four games has been won. Their most recent game saw them held to a goalless draw at Brighton and Hove Albion.
Their last league victory came at home against Newcastle. They won 1-0 but it was a Woltemade own goal that gave them their three points. Only one goal from open play has been scored by them in their last four league fixtures.
Leeds are one of the form sides in the Premier League.
Leeds United have earned eight points from their last four league games. That has seen them move away from the relegation zone that they have spent part of the season in. It's not been an easy fixture list either with games against Chelsea, Leeds, Brentford and Crystal Palace.
Their most recent game saw them defeat Crystal Palace 4-1 at home with Dominic Calvert-Lewin scoring two of them. Three of their last four games have been played at Elland Road. On the road this season, Leeds have struggled with only four points from eight league games.
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Sunderland vs Leeds last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
A. Alese
A. Masuaku
R. Mandava
MidfielderL. O'Nien
H. Diarra
N. Sadiki
ForwardB. Traore
C. Talbi
S. Longstaff
ForwardD. James
L. Nmecha
Sunderland & Leeds Squad Analysis
Sunderland aren't a big fan of the AFCON tournament. They will be without several players for the next few league games and that isn't going to make life easy for them at a busy time of the season.
Bertrand Traore, Chemsdine Tabi, Reinildo, Noah Sadiki, Habib Diarra and Arthur Masuaka are all on international duty. Sunderland fans might be asking why so many African players were signed as that has left them open to this current situation.
Calvert-Lewin is in top form.
Leeds will be hoping that Dominic Calvert-Lewin can continue his impressive scoring run. He's scored in each of their last five league games with six goals in total. Could he force his way back into the England squad?
They will be missing Sean Longstaff and that's not good news for their midfield. Away results this season have been disappointing with just one win from eight games. Significant improvement is needed if they are to keep out of the relegation places.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Leeds
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(7 Goals)
G. Xhaka
(4 Assists)
A. Stach
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Bijol
(2 Assists)
, 
B. Aaronson
(2 Assists)
,
S. Longstaff
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bogle
(2 Assists)
Sunderland and Leeds Stats in Premier League
Sunderland - Leeds Key Points
- Both teams have scored ih each of the last seven Leeds matches.
- Leeds have scored 13 goals in their last five league games.
- Three of Sunderland's last four home league games have seen both teams score.
- The two games played between these clubs last season saw both teams score in each match.
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Our Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
Leeds United are in form at present but they do need to improve their away league results. Only four points have been earned so far this season and only Wolves have a worst away record than them. They did get a recent 1-1 draw at Brentford though.
Sunderland have been the surprise side in this season's Premier League. Can they continue their good run and qualify for Europe? They haven't been scoring too many league goals of late but may do against a fragile Leeds defence. Our main Sunderland v Leeds prediction is both teams to score.
Sunderland vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score
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Sunderland vs Leeds - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
