England - Premier League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Premier League Predictions
Southampton have been presented with an opportunity to end the season on a high note in front of their home crowd. They play host to Arsenal at St. Mary's Stadium on matchday 38 in the English Premier League. The hosts are anchored at the bottom of the table, while Arsenal is in second place. Here's our match prediction.
Southampton has nothing left to play for other than their pride, which is on the line. The Saints have been the worst-performing team in all categories this season. They are ranked the worst team in offense (GF 25) and defense (GA 84). In 37 league games, they won just two times and lost 29.
Arsenal will once again end the season trophyless after some setbacks cost them a chance to win silverware. The Gunners were real title contenders at some point in the league, but because they didn't have a clinical striker, it turned out to be their undoing. They will be content with another second-place finish for the third time running.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
8.5 | 5.75 | 1.3 |
|
|
10.5 | 6.25 | 1.25 |
|
|
8.9 | 5.6 | 1.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Southampton and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.19% for a win of Southampton against Arsenal with odds of 11 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Arsenal is 33.81% with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Southampton with odds of 1.36 at Stake.
Southampton vs Arsenal Form
Southampton and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
71 | 37 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 34 |
|
20
|
12 | 37 | 2 | 6 | 29 | -59 |
Southampton and Arsenal Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
7 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
7 May 2025 - Champions League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
Southampton vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2023 - Premier League
23 Oct 2022 - Premier League
16 Apr 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
26 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Southampton is in poor form, and that's not something new. They are on a 13-match winless league run (D3, L10). The last time they won a league game was against Ipswich Town on February 1, winning 2-1 on the road.
The Saints' porous defense was on display in Sunday’s game against Everton. They conceded first-half goals from Iliman Ndiaye, leading to a convincing 2-0 away defeat.
Home is definitely not where the heart has been for Simon Rusk's men. In 19 games, they managed to pick up 6 points and have the worst home record in the league. So far, they are winless in 13 games.
Arsenal have failed to win their last two away encounters against Southampton.
Arsenal has not had it easy at the St. Mary's Stadium as they come into this match winless in two encounters. However, they did win 3-1 at home in the reverse fixture and will use this as inspiration to halt their winless run at this venue.
The Gunners finally returned to winning ways in the English Premier League on Sunday when they beat Newcastle United 1-0 at home, thanks to a Declan Rice strike in the 55th minute.
Before this win, Mikel Arteta's men were navigating a very difficult period in which they failed to win five games across all competitions. Their most highlighted match during this period was a UEFA Champions League semi-final heartbreak.
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Southampton vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
K. Walker-Peters
T. Tomiyasu
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderM. Merino
ForwardG. Jesus
Southampton & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Southampton's back three is in for a real test this Sunday as it comes face-to-face with the league's fourth potent offense.
Nathan Wood, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, and Jack Stephens will be tasked with limiting their opponents' chances at goal. The skilled defender Jan Bednarek is ruled out with a knee injury and won't be able to take part in this match.
Goals have been hard to come by for the home team, but Kamaldeen Sulemana will be hoping to score his first English Premier League goal since February 15 and second for the club.
William Saliba will be unavailable for the visiting team this Sunday.
Arsenal has suffered another fresh injury blow in defense. This time, they won't be without William Saliba, who was substituted off in the second half after picking up a hamstring injury against Newcastle United last weekend.
Kai Harvetz returned from injury and was brought on in the 76th minute. It's still to be seen if the 25-year-old will be eligible to start this one off the bench.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Arsenal
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Southampton and Arsenal Stats in Premier League
Southampton - Arsenal Key Points
- Southampton has won just one of their last 18 home league games.
- Arsenal has won five of their last ten away league games.
- Southampton has the worst defensive record in the league with a -59 goal differential.
- Arsenal has seen four of their last five league games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Arsenal has won three of their last six encounters against Southampton.
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Our Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction
Southampton pulled off a surprising result in their last home encounter against Manchester City, holding last season's champions to a goalless draw. They will be hoping for a similar outcome against Arsenal, who beat them 3-1 in the reverse fixture.
Arsenal may have struggled to win their last two away encounters against Southampton, but the bottom line is that they are the better side on paper. The visitors can cruise to a comfortable win on the last day, and we expect them to score more than two goals. Our Southampton v Arsenal prediction: Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals.
Southampton vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score: No
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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