Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
For the second time this season, Aryna Sabalenka and Nikola Bartunkova will face off. This will be in the third round of the China Open as second-seed Sabalenka eyes a second win over the 26th seed. Bartunkova pushed Sabalenka in their first meeting, and as we expect the same, our prediction backs this to need a decider.
Bartunkova is enjoying a breakthrough season, seeking to finish in the top 30. The 20-year-old has compiled a 35-20 record following her second-round win against Magdalena Frech in straight sets.
She will be fired up for this game, unfazed at her underdog status. Placed 34th in the live rank, Bartunkova’s highlight for the season was reaching the Monterrey semis.
Sabalenka returns to Beijing after missing last year with injury, and she hopes to bag her first-ever title here. Her best run at the China Open remains reaching three quarter-finals.
This has somewhat been a disappointing season for the Belarusian, though she’s won three titles. Ahead of this encounter, she beat Renata Zarazua in straight sets, recovering from her US Open final defeat to Elena Rybakina.
That was her second loss in a Grand Slam final this year, having also fallen at the Australian Open. Sabalenka has compiled a 47-9 record, but some shaky performances lately saw her drop sets in two of the last four outings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Nikola Bartunkova v Aryna Sabalenka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6 | 1.15 |
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5.6 | 1.14 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
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5.6 | 1.14 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
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Who will win the Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 03/10/2026 of the current WTA China Open season:
- Nikola Bartunkova has a 26.02% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 6.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.98% probability of winning facing Nikola Bartunkova ⭐ with odds of 1.15 at Stake.
Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Nikola Bartunkova has a 26.02 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | 26.02 % |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 73.98 % |
Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Form
Nikola Bartunkova and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
2 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
28 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open
27 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
12 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
10 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
8 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
6 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
19 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Nikola Bartunkova - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points
- Bartunkova failed to win a set in just two of her last 10 matches.
- In these players’ only meeting, Bartunkova lost but won a set.
- Sabalenka has dropped a set twice in the last four outings.
- Sabalenka has won 47 of her 56 matches this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka has a point to prove on her return to the China Open. While sitting at the top of the rankings last season, a minor injury locked her out. She returns as the world No. 2 but on a good run compared to her opponent.
Bartunkova has already suffered a loss to Sabalenka this season but not without pushing the Belarusian. She will be gunning for the same, especially with Sabalenka showing a little bit of shakiness. In the end, though, we see Sabalenka advancing. Our prediction for Nikola Bartunkova v Aryna Sabalenka is for the exact score: 1-2.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
