Alex De Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open

Prediction published on 03/10/2026, 10:58  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 03/10/2026 at 11:57 in Tennis Predictions

Unseeded Andrey Rublev is attempting to reach his second successive ATP Tour semi-final. He takes on fifth seed Alex de Minaur in the last eight of the outdoor hard court China Open. All four of the matches these players have played in Beijing this week have had more than 20.5 games played and our prediction is that stat will come up here.

In the semi-finals, the winner will face unseeded opposition, either Hubert Hurkacz or Karen Khachanov.

Alex de Minaur beat Mariano Navone in straight sets in round one, needing a tie-break in the first set. The Australian followed that with a come-from-behind win over Quentin Halys, again with a tie-break being played. A side bet on one here may well produce a profit.

De Minaur has played more than 20.5 games in each of his last three matches.

He's 4-4 in previous matches with Rublev, but the Russian has won three of the last four. More than 20.5 games have been played in five of their last six matches over this format. 

Andrey Rublev was the runner-up in his last tournament and is again going deep in this China Open. He has played two three-setters in this tournament with wins over Tallon Griekspoor and Roman Safiullin. More than 20.5 games have been played in four of his last five matches.