Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Valentin Vacherot is running into some form ahead of his Shanghai Masters defence. The eighth seed has a tough match in the quarter-finals of the outdoor hard court Japan Open as he takes on qualifier Arthur Fils. An analysis of the statistics has led us to make a prediction of more than 20.5 games.
Vacherot has had two difficult matches so far in this ATP 500 tournament. The first round saw him beat Alexander Blockx in straight sets, but both went to 7-6. Then followed a three-set victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas after losing the opener. He's played more than 20.5 games in each of his last five best-of-three sets matches.
A side bet on a tie-break is advisable as he's played at least one in six of his last seven matches.
Arthur Fils is ninth in the world, nine places higher than Vacherot, but he had to qualify to get into the main draw in Tokyo. He did so, but both of his qualifying matches went to a deciding set with more than 20.5 games played. That was the case in his straight sets win over Frances Tiafoe in round two.
He's played more than 20.5 games in four of his last five matches played over three sets.
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Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 1.22 |
|
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4.08 | 1.26 |
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|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
4 | 1.25 |
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|
4 | 1.25 |
|
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Who will win the Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils game on 04/10/2026 of the current ATP Japan Open season:
- Valentin Vacherot has a 19.75% chance to win against Arthur Fils according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.33.
- Arthur Fils has a 80.25% probability of winning facing Valentin Vacherot ⭐ with odds of 1.26 at 1xbet.
Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Valentin Vacherot has a 19.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | 19.75 % |
| Arthur Fils | 80.25 % |
Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Form
Valentin Vacherot and Arthur Fils Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
26 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
23 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils Key Points
- One previous match between these two players went to a deciding set with more than 20.5 games played.
- Four of the last five best-of-three set matches played by Fils have seen more than 20.5 games played.
- A tie-break would be great news for our prediction and Vacherot has played three in his two matches so far in Tokyo.
- Each of the last five best-of-three sets matches played by Vacherot has had more than 20.5 games played in them.
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Our Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Prediction
Arthur Fils has already had to play four matches in this Japan Open and three of them have seen more than 20.5 games played. The one previous match he has had against Vacherot was in Miami earlier this year and he won that outdoor hard court match in three sets.
It's been a tough couple of matches so far for Valentin Vacherot. He has only dropped one set, but has already played 59 games with three tie-breaks played in his wins. Our Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
