Nigeria vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions
Nigeria and Tunisia clash next in the most anticipated game of Group C. The Super Eagles and Eagles of Carthage are off to a great start after winning their opening games. You can just feel that the winner of this round 2 clash will go on to top Group C. Let's get into the match prediction.
Nigeria, the Group C favourites, comfortably beat Tanzania 2-1 in a match that could have ended 4-1 or more. The Super Eagles missed three big chances, but goals from Semi Ajayi and Ademola Lookman sealed the victory in Morocco. For Nigeria, the 2025 AFCON, which they last won in 2013, will offer a chance at redemption after the nation failed to qualify for back-to-back World Cups for the first time since the 90’s.
However, Tunisia stands in the way of a favourable first-place finish in Group C. The Eagles of Carthage cruised past Uganda in a 3-1 victory. That win propelled them to 1st in Group C due to goal difference. While Nigeria are the better team on paper, Tunisia's year has been more impressive following their brilliant World Cup run. In the CAF WC qualifiers, Tunisia won nine of ten games, scored 22 goals (2.2 per game), and conceded 0 in Group H.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nigeria v Tunisia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.38 | 3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.28 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Tunisia?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Tunisia match is: Over 1.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Nigeria and Tunisia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.24% for a win of Nigeria against Tunisia with odds of 2.45 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Tunisia is 23.04% with odds of 3 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Tunisia vs Nigeria with odds of 3.45 at Shangrila.
Nigeria vs Tunisia Form
Nigeria and Tunisia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Nigeria and Tunisia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Nigeria vs Tunisia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Jan 2022 - AFCON
17 Jul 2019 - AFCON
Nigeria - Tunisia: Form Analysis
The Super Eagles have been relatively good under new coach Eric Chelle. Since joining Nigeria earlier this year, Chelle has coached Nigeria to nine wins in 16 games.
Before their 2-1 victory over Tanzania, Nigeria tested their mettle in a 2-1 defeat to Egypt. But right before was their bitter WC qualification final defeat to DR Congo on penalties.
Nigeria has now lost only one of its last eight competitive games, recording six victories and a draw.
The Eagles of Carthage are also flying high with the senior team. If we leave out the Arab Cup, which typically isn't played by the senior team, and international friendlies, Tunisia has now won seven straight games.
The 3-1 win against Uganda also made it 19 goals in that span, with only a single goal conceded. Outside official competitions, Tunisia had a chance to face Brazil in an international friendly last month and performed incredibly.
Against a Brazil lineup featuring Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo, Cunha, Estevao, and several other first-team players, Tunisia walked away with a 1-1 draw. That game, where Tunisia faced 21 shots while conceding only one, showed just how good they are defensively.
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Nigeria vs Tunisia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Nigeria & Tunisia Squad Analysis
Although Victor Osimhen didn't get in the scoresheet in the opener against Tanzania, he wasn't anything but quiet in that game.
Osimhen attempted seven of Nigeria’s 21 shots against Tanzania, and Tunisia might not be so lucky if they allow the Super Eagles skipper that many chances.
Osimhen, the reigning Turkish League Golden Boot winner, has scored the most goals for Nigeria in 2025 (8).
Lookman netted the goal that sealed the game for Nigeria, breaking his 5-game goal drought for club and country.
But while Tunisia must watch out for Lookman and Osimhen, two of the last three African Players of the Year, the Super Eagles' backing must watch Elias Achouri closely.
Achouri netted two against Uganda, making him one of the only three players to score 2+ goals in the 2025 AFCON so far. What's more, the Copenhagen winger now has 5 G/A in his last five games.
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Tunisia
A. Lookman
(1 Goals)
,
S. Ajayi
(1 Goals)
E. Achouri
(2 Goals)
A. Iwobi
(2 Assists)
H. Mejbri
(1 Assists)
,
A. Abdi
(1 Assists)
Nigeria and Tunisia Stats in AFCON
Nigeria - Tunisia Key Points
- Nigeria and Tunisia’s opening games featured three and four goals, respectively.
- Tunisia's senior team has scored in seven straight games, netting 19 goals (2.7 per game).
- 12 of Tunisia’s last 14 senior team games have featured over 1.5 goals.
- Nigeria’s senior team has scored in 14 straight games, with 13 games featuring over 1.5 goals.
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Our Nigeria vs Tunisia Prediction
Nigeria and Tunisia's offences have been on fire with goals scored in 14 and seven straight games, respectively. Tunisia alone has scored 19 in their last seven, netting 2.7 goals on average. They've already started their campaign with 3 against Uganda.
Nigeria is also firing consistently, and their output, combined with their defensive vulnerability, has seen 13 of their last 14 senior team games feature over 1.5 goals by full-time. Hence, our Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction is Over 1.5 Goals.
Nigeria vs Tunisia - Other Interesting Predictions
Tunisia over 0.5 goals
Get up to €100 to bet on the Nigeria vs. Tunisia game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
