South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Independiente del Valle will be out to protect a slim advantage when they travel to Mushuc Runa in the Copa Sudamericana. In this all-Ecuadorian battle, Independiente have the edge after winning 1-0 in the first leg. Read on for our match prediction.
Mushuc Runa are in really bad shape. Their 1-0 win against Aucas in the last game wasn’t expected, as Mushuc sit bottom of the Liga Pro. The victory was a reprieve, their first in the last 13 matches.
Before it they had suffered six straight defeats, which isn’t a run to be proud of. There’s no doubt the hosts here will be the underdogs, having failed to beat Independiente in four straight matches.
As these teams play in the same league, they meet often. Independiente, who top the league, have been the dominant team in this fixture. The visitors have only lost two of the last 10 meetings between these two sides and won six times.
They warmed up for the encounter with a 2-1 win at Orense, their 18th unbeaten outing. From the 18 matches they managed 14 wins and with that, they’ll go into this as outright favorites.
The visitors need just a draw to progress, yet they are unbeaten in nine away matches, drawing four. They will need to be alert here though, as they are winless in the last two visits to Mushuc Runa.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mushuc Runa SC v CSD Independiente Del Valle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.75 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.5 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.65 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mushuc Runa SC and CSD Independiente Del Valle?
Our prediction for the Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle match is: Independiente wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/08/2025 between Mushuc Runa SC and CSD Independiente Del Valle in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 11.82% for a win of Mushuc Runa SC against CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 3.9 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle is 22.26% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.92% chance ⭐ for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC with odds of 1.99 at Stake.
Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Form
Mushuc Runa SC and CSD Independiente Del Valle Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
3 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
5 Jul 2025 - Serie A
22 Jun 2025 - Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
3 Aug 2025 - Serie A
20 Jul 2025 - Serie A
13 Jul 2025 - Serie A
27 Jun 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
2 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Aug 2025 - Serie A
18 Jul 2025 - Serie A
15 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Jul 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
22 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Jul 2025 - Serie A
29 Jun 2025 - Serie A
Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
18 Apr 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2023 - Serie A
25 Feb 2023 - Serie A
Most goals and assists
Mushuc Runa SC
CSD Independiente Del Valle
C. Orejuela Quinonez
(7 Goals)
C. Spinelli
(17 Goals)
C. Orejuela Quinonez
(3 Assists)
L. Loor
(2 Assists)
,
P. Mercado
(2 Assists)
Mushuc Runa SC and CSD Independiente Del Valle Stats in Copa Sudamericana
Mushuc Runa SC - CSD Independiente Del Valle Key Points
- Independiente are unbeaten in 18 matches.
- Independiente posted five wins in the last six matches.
- Mushuc Runa lost six of their last seven games.
- Mushuc Runa managed one win in the last 13 games.
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Our Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Prediction
Mushuc Runa trail in this tie, and even as they play the return leg at home, the odds are still heavily stacked against them. While they must win here to progress, the hosts have only managed that twice in the last 10 matches against Independiente.
They can look at the last two times Independiente visited for inspiration, but in the home team’s form, we can’t back them. Mushuc Runa parade six losses in seven, while Independiente are unbeaten in 18, with 14 wins. Our prediction for Mushuc Runa v Independiente is that Independiente wins the match.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Mushuc Runa SC vs. CSD Independiente Del Valle game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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