Monaco vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco will be back at their base for a matchday two meeting in Ligue 1 against Marseille this Sunday. Both teams posted wins in Round 1 and will be up for it here. Monaco have won four of their last six home matches, and in our prediction, we are backing them to prevail.
There are still concerns about their defence, but Monaco have started their season strongly. Les Monégasques posted three straight wins to kick off their season, and a three-match home winning run against Marseille is sure to motivate them.
In their opening league game they recorded a rare clean sheet in a 1-0 win at Le Havre. They then switched lanes to Europe, beating Gornik Zabrze 4-1 to secure their Conference League main draw slot.
Marseille had the biggest win on matchday one, seeing off Strasbourg 4-0 to momentarily go top of the standings. They will be keen to return there with a win in this fixture that has proven tough in recent times.
Their difficulties in this fixture aside, Marseille haven’t had a great run on the road in recent league games, and that should be another area of concern. While they secured a season-ending win on the road last term, the three preceding outings had ended in straight losses.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Monaco v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.26 | 3.65 | 3.20 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.57 | 3.27 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.62 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.44 | 3.20 |
|
|
2.20 | 3.48 | 3.20 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Marseille match is: Monaco wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2026 between Monaco and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.16% for a win of Monaco against Marseille with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Marseille is 17.48% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Monaco with odds of 3.33 at 888Starz.
Monaco - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 47.16% | 2.30 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.54% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Monaco | 18.94% | 6.00 at Roobet |
Monaco vs Marseille Form
Monaco and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 |
|
13
|
6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 |
Monaco and Marseille Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Kohn
DefenderJ. Teze
C. Mawissa
T. Kehrer
MidfielderS. Benzahra
A. Soubeir
M. Abline
M. Biereth
M. Detourbet
T. Vermot
DefenderD. Cornelius
U. Garcia
N. Aguerd
N. Tocukvu
T. Mmadi
F. Moumbagna
N. Maupay
K. Abdallah
Missing players
M. Salisu
MidfielderT. Minamino
ForwardF. Balogun
A. Fati
I. Paixao
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Marseille
P. Brunner
(4 Goals)
A. Gouiri
(4 Goals)
A. Gomes
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gouiri
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Harit
(1 Assists)
, 
Emerson
(1 Assists)
Monaco - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille have suffered three defeats in their last four away matches.
- Monaco have posted three straight wins to kick off their season.
- Monaco beat Marseille at home in the last three meetings.
- Marseille lost four times in their last nine Ligue 1 matches.
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Our Monaco vs Marseille Prediction
Marseille will be on alert here after failing to win any of their last three visits to Monaco. Twice in those meetings, Monaco scored three times, and Marseille will know they have to do better defensively.
Their drive to improve on the four wins in 10 away games at Monaco will be made tougher by the fact that they come here having won just once in their latest four away games. With these stats, our prediction for Monaco v Marseille is that Monaco wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Marseille
| Monaco vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 2.39 | 2.30 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.65 | -6.4% |
| Marseille wins | 2.89 | 3.33 | +15.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.8% and is now 43.5% (1.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
