Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Leeds United lost narrowly at Arsenal last weekend. They are seventh in the Premier League, six places and three points above the visitors Manchester United. Looking at the statistics for the Whites and the Red Devils, this season, goals are expected here and our prediction is BTTS.
United lost their unbeaten league record at the Emirates last weekend. They have won two of their six league games this season with three matches ending in draws. Home form has been good for them at Elland Road and they take on a Manchester United team who are not in the best of form at present.
United lost to Atletico Madrid in midweek. They are already 12 points behind league leaders Manchester City after just six games of the new season. Their coach Michael Carrick insists his team is in a good place, but just one league win is not leading their supporters to share that opinion.
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Leeds v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.31 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.70 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.56 | 2.90 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.56 | 2.90 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.56 | 2.90 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Manchester United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between Leeds and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.59% for a win of Leeds against Manchester United with odds of 2.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Manchester United is 40.04% with odds of 3.7 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Leeds with odds of 3.01 at 1xbet.
Leeds vs Manchester United Form
Leeds and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 |
|
13
|
6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Leeds and Manchester United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Leeds vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Leeds - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Leeds United have only been beaten by Arsenal in this season's Premier League. That was a 2-1 away defeat in their most recent fixture. Unlike their opponents, they have had a break since that match as they are not playing in European competition this season.
United have won one of their three home league games this season. That was an impressive 4-1 victory over Newcastle United. Their other two league games played at Elland Road have both ended in draws. They drew 1-1 with Brentford and 0-0 with Crystal Palace.
Both teams have scored in four of their last five league games.
United desperately need three points.
Manchester United's disappointing start to the new season continued in midweek, losing away at Atletico Madrid.
The Reds have only won one league game this season, a home victory over Ipswich Town. On the road, United have earned two points from their three away league fixtures, most recently a 1-1 draw at Fulham. Two of their three away league fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
The last three games played between these two clubs have all seen both teams score.
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Leeds vs Manchester United last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Zetterer
DefenderM. Bard
J. Bijol
MidfielderS. Longstaff
I. Gruev
ForwardB. Aaronson
J. Bahoya
H. Wilson
L. Nmecha
K. Darlow
D. Mee
DefenderH. Maguire
D. Armer
M. De Ligt
H. Amass
MidfielderM. Mount
T. Fletcher
S. Lacey
ForwardA. Diallo
J. Zirkzee
M. Cunha
Missing players
J. Rodon
ForwardD. James
Mateo Joseph
T. Heaton
DefenderL. Shaw
M. De Ligt
N. Mazraoui
P. Dorgu
MidfielderM. Ugarte
K. Mainoo
ForwardB. Sesko
Leeds & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Former Manchester United player Daniel James is doubtful for Leeds. He has a back problem and this may come too soon for him. Also out of action for Leeds are Mateo Joseph and Joe Rodon, neither are fit enough to take part in training sessions at present.
Harry Wilson and Jean-Matteo Bahoy are back in training and could be in the squad for this game.
Martinez is available despite his recent comments.
Despite his recent negative comments about the club, Lisando Martinez is available for this trip to Leeds United. He wasn't in a good mood at all after the midweek loss at Atletico Madrid, not quite what United need at a time when they are in the bottom half of the Premier League.
Luke Shaw is always included in any team news for United with his continual battle against injury. He's being mentioned again as the England defender missed the midweek Champions League fixture. Kobbie Mainoo was also absent and they remain doubtful for this match.
United will be hoping that Bruno Fernandes will return to form. He's scored three league goals, but all in the win over Ipswich Town.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Manchester United
D. Calvert-Lewin
(3 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Mbeumo
(3 Goals)
L. Nmecha
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Tanaka
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Muharemovic
(1 Assists)
,
J. Justin
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
M. Cunha
(2 Assists)
Leeds and Manchester United Stats in Premier League
Leeds - Manchester United Key Points
- Four of the last five Leeds league games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last three games played between these two clubs.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last five Leeds home league fixtures.
- Two of Manchester United's three away league games this season have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction
Leeds United have made a good start to the season, but they have failed to win either of their last two league fixtures. A home draw with Crystal Palace was followed by their first league loss of the season at Arsenal. This looks like being an open game between two sides both wanting a win.
Manchester United are only three points behind their opponents, but the same gap exists between them and the relegation zone. United have scored nine league goals this season, but conceded the same number. Our main Leeds v Manchester United prediction is BTTS.
Leeds vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Draw
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Leeds vs Manchester United - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
