Le Mans FC vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
16/10/2026 14:45
Toulouse

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Le Mans and Toulouse face off on another day of trying to stay out of the Ligue 1 relegation region. Toulouse managed to rise one place from 16th last time out, while Le Mans are stuck in 14th. Shaky runs so far, point our prediction towards a draw here.

Le Mans return to home comforts after a tough outing in Paris, where they were beaten 3-1 by champions PSG. The Blood and Gold are undefeated at home so far this season and will be hoping to take that to four games.

Across their first three home outings, they posted their only win so far in the season. This run will build their hope towards the search for a first win over Toulouse in seven meetings.

Toulouse will also be looking at this encounter, feeling Le Mans are beatable opponents. The visitors have won each of the last four meetings with Le Mans and will hope they get their second of the season here.

It has been a tough start for Les Violets, but they can put some positivity in having avoided defeat in the last three games. Toulouse returned from the international recess with a hard-fought 2-2 draw with league leaders Monaco last time out.

While there are signs of growing confidence, they remain winless on the road, having drawn all three matches.                                                                                                  

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Le Mans FC v Toulouse Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.00 3.60 2.24
1xbet
3.12 3.61 2.39
Melbet
3.01 3.48 2.31
Betwinner
3.01 3.48 2.31
22bet
3.01 3.48 2.31
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What is the prediction for the football match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse?

Our prediction for the Le Mans FC vs Toulouse match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/10/2026 between Le Mans FC and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.74% for a win of Le Mans FC against Toulouse with odds of 3.12 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Mans FC vs Toulouse is 41.18% with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Le Mans FC with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.

Le Mans FC vs Toulouse Form

Le Mans FC and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Le Mans FC
6 6 1 3 2 -2
15 Toulouse
6 6 1 3 2 -2

Le Mans FC and Toulouse Last Matches

Le Mans FC
Le Mans FC Last matches
L D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Le Mans FC

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
3 :  1
Nantes

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  1
Lorient

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  2
Lens

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Le Mans FC

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  2
Le Mans FC
D L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
3 :  1
Nantes

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  1
Lorient

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  2
Lens

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  2
Brest

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
0 :  1
Le Havre

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Le Mans FC
1 :  1
UNFP Selection
W W D L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Le Mans FC

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Le Mans FC

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  2
Le Mans FC

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Olympique Saumur FC
0 :  0
Le Mans FC

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
2 :  3
Le Mans FC

9 May 2026 - Ligue 2

Bastia
0 :  2
Le Mans FC
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L D L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon
D W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Rodez Aveyron Football
L W L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Toulouse

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse
Le Mans FC vs Toulouse Prediction

Le Mans FC vs Toulouse last Lineups

Le Mans FC

Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2

98
N. Kocik
15
N. Boisse
17
S. Yohou
5
H. Voyer
8
A. Lauray
26
R. Bamba
29
L. Bretelle
10
J. Vercruysse
22
L. Calodat
13
H. Diallo
14
L. Mafouta
13
J. Russell-Rowe
37
I. Azizi
8
T. Jorgensen
20
C. Tengstedt
6
A. Vossah
23
C. Casseres Jr
12
C. Tape
3
M. McKenzie
5
S. Koumbassa
22
R. Messali
16
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Toulouse

Substitutes

Le Mans FC
Le Mans FC
Goalkeeper

E. Hatfout

Defender

Y. Larouci

R. Torrente

Midfielder

D. Traore

Forward

A. Rabillard

L. Buades

D. Gueye

B. Brahimi

W. Harhouz

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

M. Niflore

Defender

I. Diallo

N. Sigur

D. Odogu

Midfielder

N. Schmidt

M. Amougou

Forward

S. Oppong

A. Donnum

S. Hidalgo

Missing players

Le Mans FC
Le Mans FC
Defender

D. Sidibe

Midfielder

A. Bourabaa

Toulouse
Toulouse
Defender

R. Nicolaisen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Le Mans FC
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
L. Mafouta (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark C. Tengstedt (4 Goals)
Best assists
Algeria A. Bourabaa (2 Assists) , 
France L. Calodat (2 Assists)
Best assists
Venezuela C. Casseres Jr (4 Assists)

Le Mans FC and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
Le Mans FC
Toulouse
Toulouse
17%
Wins
17%
33%
Losses
33%
50%
Draws
50%
3.67
Average goals per match
3.33
1.67
Goals scored per match
1.5
2
Goals conceded per match
1.83
17%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
83%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
67%

Le Mans FC - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Le Mans are unbeaten at home this season.
  2. Toulouse and Le Mans have each lost once this season.
  3. Le Mans drew five of the last nine games they hosted.
  4. Toulouse are unbeaten away from home this season, drawing all three.
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Our Le Mans FC vs Toulouse Prediction

These two sides haven’t had great runs in the season, but both have much to protect here. Le Mans are unbeaten at home, and they’ll want to hold on to that as long as they can. On the other hand, Toulouse are undefeated away from home and will hope to go a notch higher with their first win on the road.

Both teams have lost twice this season and know another such result could see them drop into the bottom three. With so much to play for, our prediction for Le Mans v Toulouse is for a draw. 

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.