St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League

Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League

St Patricks
16/10/2026 15:00
Shelbourne Dublin

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

St Patricks will look to eat into the lead of Shamrock Rovers at the top of the League of Ireland Premier Division when they take on Shelbourne Dublin on matchday 34. This match on Friday at Richmond Park in Dublin between the second-placed ‘Saints’ and the fourth-placed ‘Reds’ could be a tight game, looking at the historical record of these sides. Can the visitors throw a spanner in the run of the hosts?

With 59 points from 32 matches (W17, D8, L7), St Patricks are six points behind leaders Shamrock Rovers, although with a game in hand. Shelbourne have 43 points from 33 matches (W10, D13, L10) and are 16 points outside the top three spots.

The hosts have extra motivation to win here, considering their slim title chances. The visitors have no chance of overtaking Bohemians in the top three races, but they can make the title race interesting with a win here. Will that be the case, and will Shelbourne have the squad to pack a punch here? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

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St Patricks v Shelbourne Dublin Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.55 3.95 4.90
1xbet
1.61 4.00 5.03
Melbet
1.61 4.00 5.03
Betwinner
1.61 4.00 5.03
22bet
1.61 4.00 5.03
Check all St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between St Patricks and Shelbourne Dublin?

Our prediction for the St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/10/2026 between St Patricks and Shelbourne Dublin in Airtricity League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.18% for a win of St Patricks against Shelbourne Dublin with odds of 1.61 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin is 36.64% with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Shelbourne Dublin vs St Patricks with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.

St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Form

St Patricks and Shelbourne Dublin's standings in the Airtricity League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 St Patricks
59 32 17 8 7 +27
4 Shelbourne Dublin
43 33 10 13 10 +1

St Patricks and Shelbourne Dublin Last Matches

St Patricks
St Patricks Last matches
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
0 :  1
St Patricks

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
0 :  4
St Patricks

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
2 :  0
Shamrock Rovers

5 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
1 :  1
Bohemians Dublin

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  2
Waterford United

21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
0 :  2
St Patricks
D D W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
2 :  0
Shamrock Rovers

5 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
1 :  1
Bohemians Dublin

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  2
Waterford United

16 Aug 2026 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
3 :  2
Shamrock Rovers

2 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  1
Derry City

24 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  1
Dundalk
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
0 :  1
St Patricks

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
0 :  4
St Patricks

21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
0 :  2
St Patricks

9 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  2
St Patricks

10 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  1
St Patricks

26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
2 :  0
St Patricks
Shelbourne Dublin
Shelbourne Dublin Last matches
D L L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
5 :  1
Sligo Rovers

25 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
1 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
2 :  3
Shelbourne Dublin

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  2
Drogheda United

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
0 :  1
Derry City

4 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  0
Shelbourne Dublin
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
5 :  1
Sligo Rovers

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  2
Drogheda United

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
0 :  1
Derry City

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  2
Ajax

9 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  2
St Patricks

23 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
5 :  2
Nomme Kalju
L L D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
1 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
2 :  3
Shelbourne Dublin

4 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  0
Shelbourne Dublin

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
1 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
3 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

2 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  0
Shelbourne Dublin

St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

St Patricks

50 %

Draw

17 %

Shelbourne Dublin

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  2
St Patricks

15 May 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

6 Mar 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  3
St Patricks

1 Nov 2025 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
0 :  0
St Patricks

17 Aug 2025 - FAI Cup

St Patricks
2 :  0
Shelbourne Dublin

16 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
0 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

St Patricks - Shelbourne Dublin: Form Analysis

A 1-0 narrow away win at Sligo Rovers saw St Patricks go into the international break with three wins in a row in the league. All the victories were accompanied by a clean sheet, true to their record of conceding a league-low 25 goals.

The Saints will be wary of their home form, though, as they could win just one of their last four league fixtures at this venue (W1, D2, L1). Regardless, ten wins out of 16 home league games this season make them a strong team in familiar conditions.

St Patricks conceded just 10 goals in their last 16 home league games.

Shelbourne won 5-1 at home against Sligo Rovers last Friday in their first match back after the international break. That result keeps them unbeaten in three (W2, D1), which is a stark contrast from a previous run of six winless games in the league (D2, L4).

Challenges remain on the road too, but Shelbourne may have found a way to pick up points lately. They are unbeaten in their last four league trips (W1, D3) and could look to trouble the hosts.

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St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Prediction

St Patricks & Shelbourne Dublin Squad Analysis

The hosts are seemingly without any injury concerns and are likely to be at full-strength for this game. They will depend for goals on the duo of Aidan Keena and Ryan Edmondson, with the two contributing 10 goals each in the league this season.

St Patricks have usually lined up in 3-5-2 formation while making slight adjustments to the 3-1-4-2 system in their last two games. Either way, it will be Keena and Edmondson who will be keen to add goals.

Keena has four goals in his last three league games.

Mipo Odubeko was injured for Shelbourne in their latest match, but otherwise they seem to be at full strength. John Martin scored a brace in that game and has eight goals to his name in this league campaign.

He is likely to be their key scorer as Shelbourne could stick to their 3-4-3 formation – something they have tried for two games in a row. Daniel Kelly could be the other striker, although his tally of five assists along with seven goals makes him a valuable creative asset.

St Patricks - Shelbourne Dublin Key Points

  1. Thirteen of the last 16 league games involving St Patricks have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Fewer than three goals were scored in seven of St Patricks’ last eight home league games.
  3. Five of Shelbourne’s last nine league games have also seen at most two goals.
  4. Four of Shelbourne’s last five away league games have produced less than three goals.
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Our St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Prediction

St Patricks have a six-point deficit to leaders Shamrock Rovers with 12 points to play for, so they have no room to lose here. The visitors have no chance to move up the table, so the home team’s motivation could give them an edge. Will that translate into a victory here? They are odds-on favourite to do so, which leaves us looking for value in other markets.

Five of the last eight matches between these sides were low-scoring, and that’s likely to repeat here. That’s why our St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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St Patricks vs Shelbourne Dublin Alternative Predictions

St Patricks wins

Odds 1.52

St Patricks are in the title race and need a win to cling on to the coattails of the leaders. They have three wins in a row coming into this fixture and could likely extend that run.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.