Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Everton
17/10/2026 07:30
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Everton or Draw

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

This is the opening match in the latest set of English Premier League matches. Fifth placed Everton host Chelsea who are a place below them but only on goal difference. The Toffees are unbeaten in the Premier League this season, while Chelsea are struggling on their travels. Our prediction here is Everton wins or draws.

Everton ended last season with a run of seven league games without a victory. That caused them to miss out on European qualification. It's been a different story this term with the Toffees unbeaten in their first six league fixtures. However, only two of their six matches have been won, though they've had a couple of wins in the Carabao Cup too.

Chelsea won 5-1 at home against Bournemouth last weekend. Like their opponents, they will go fourth if earning three points from this match. The problem they have is their away form which has already seen them concede seven goals in three league games this season.

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Everton v Chelsea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.15 3.70 2.11
1xbet
3.24 3.88 2.23
Melbet
3.12 3.74 2.15
Betwinner
3.12 3.74 2.15
22bet
3.12 3.74 2.15
Check all Everton vs Chelsea odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Everton vs Chelsea match is: Everton wins or draws.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Everton and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.09% for a win of Everton against Chelsea with odds of 3.24 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Chelsea is 33.84% with odds of 3.88 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Everton with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.

Everton vs Chelsea Form

Everton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Everton
10 6 2 4 0 +3
6 Chelsea
10 6 3 1 2 +2

Everton and Chelsea Last Matches

Everton
Everton Last matches
D D D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Hull
2 :  2
Everton

19 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  0
Ipswich Town

16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  0
Wolves

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  0
Everton

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  0
Ipswich Town

16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  0
Wolves

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Crystal Palace

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
1 :  1
Lille

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
3 :  1
Newcastle
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Hull
2 :  2
Everton

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  0
Everton

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Preston North End
0 :  4
Everton

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Everton

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Chelsea

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Hull

9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
6 :  3
Leeds

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Bournemouth

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Hull

9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
6 :  3
Leeds

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton

27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Luton Town

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad
D L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Chelsea

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

24 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  3
Chelsea

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Johor Darul Takzim
3 :  3
Chelsea

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  1
Chelsea

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

Everton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

33 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Chelsea

15 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
6 :  0
Everton

10 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Chelsea

Everton - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Everton have made an unbeaten start to the new Premier League season. Ten points have been earned from their first six league games with a couple of wins and four draws. The most recent of those draws came last weekend away at Hull City in a game in which they both trailed and led.

Their six league fixtures this season have seen only 13 goals scored. Only eight goals have been scored by Everton with five scored against them. Home form in their new stadium was a big problem last season and did contribute towards them missing out on European qualification.

This season they have played three home league games with two wins and a draw. Wins have come over Crystal Palace and Ipswich Town with the other being a 2-2 draw with Manchester United. They have also had a home win over Wolves in the Carabao Cup.

Chelsea must improve their away form.

Chelsea were in great form last weekend as they beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home. The Blues will now hope that they can transfer their form at Stamford Bridge. On the road this season, Chelsea have won away at Fulham 3-2 but since then have been beaten at Arsenal and most recently suffered a 3-0 loss at Brentford.

They have conceded at least twice in eight of their last nine competitive away games, plus in a friendly.

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Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Everton vs Chelsea last Lineups

Everton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pickford
2
A. Maitland-Niles
6
J. Tarkowski
5
M. Keane
4
J. Branthwaite
45
H. Armstrong
37
J. Garner
22
B. Johnson
8
K. Dewsbury-Hall
10
J. Grealish
11
T. Barry
17
M. Rogers
9
Joao Pedro
10
C. Palmer
29
P. Chavarria
25
M. Caicedo
14
J. Henderson
7
P. Neto
6
L. Colwill
5
M. Lacroix
34
J. Acheampong
1
E. Martinez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Chelsea

Substitutes

Everton
Everton
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

J. O'Brien

Midfielder

C. Norgaard

H. Hackney

T. George

M. Rohl

C. Alcaraz

Forward

B. Graham

T. Dibling

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

M. Penders

Defender

J. Hato

M. Palestra

M. Gusto

W. Fofana

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

D. Welbeck

G. Quenda

Estevao

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Defender

V. Mykolenko

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

E. Emegha

J. Gittens

Everton & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Everton may again be without Vitaliy Mykolenko for this home game against Chelsea. He missed last weekend's 2-2 draw at Hull City. If that is the case, then Jarrad Braithwaite will find himself being asked to play at left-back. Everton have only conceded two goals at home this season, both in the draw with Manchester United.

Barry in good scoring form.

They will be hoping for another good performance from Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. He scored and made an assist last weekend. Thierno Barry has also been an influential player for the Toffees this season with three league goals being scored so far.

Just why are Chelsea not able to consistently get wins on the road?  That's just one question that Alonso has to solve if his side is to challenge for the title. Another is their inability to keep a clean sheet with none so far this season. They are strong in midfield with Henderson rolling back the years with a couple of goals against Bournemouth.

Joao Pedro remains in good scoring form for the Blues. They may be without Reece James and Emmanuel Emegha for this match.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
France T. Barry (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (5 Goals)
Best assists
England H. Armstrong (1 Assists) , 
England H. Hackney (1 Assists) , 
England J. Tarkowski (1 Assists) , 
England A. Maitland-Niles (1 Assists) , 
England K. Dewsbury-Hall (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Joao Pedro (3 Assists) , 
England C. Palmer (3 Assists)

Everton and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Everton
Everton
Chelsea
Chelsea
33%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
33%
67%
Draws
17%
2.17
Average goals per match
4.67
1.33
Goals scored per match
2.5
0.83
Goals conceded per match
2.17
67%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
50%
BTTS
83%

Everton - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Everton are unbeaten in eight league and cup games this season.
  2. Everton have drawn four of their six league games this season.
  3. This season has seen Chelsea lose two of their three away league fixtures.
  4. Everton have only lost one of their last nine home games against Chelsea with clean sheets kept in five of the last six.
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Our Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Everton are yet to lose a match in this season's English Premier League. A bold bid to qualify for Europe is going to be made and finally they have started to get some good home results. Two of their three home league games have been won, but the Toffees have drawn four league games this season.

Chelsea have struggled on the road this season with seven goals being conceded in three games. The Blues just cannot keep clean sheets whether at home or away and that has to change. Our main Everton v Chelsea prediction is Everton wins or draws.

Prediction :

 

Everton or Draw

 
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Everton vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.80
Everton have drawn four of their six league games this season.
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Everton vs Chelsea - FAQs

This Premier League fixture is being played on Saturday October 17 and will kick off at 12:30 UK time.
The Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool will be the venue for this Everton home game against Chelsea.
TNT Sports will be showing this match live in the UK. You do need to take out a subscription to that channel. For help with your in-play bets, go to our Premier League livescore to read our continually updated statistics and the live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.