Lille vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lille
17/10/2026 14:45
Brest

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

After a tough outing in Europe, Lille returns to Ligue 1 to host Brest in a match that hasn’t been short of goals lately. Lille arrive for this game in second place, trailing leaders Monaco by a point, while Brest are further down in seventh. The last five meetings between these sides averaged three goals, and our prediction backs the same here.

Hosts Lille are coming from a heavy defeat in the Champions League, blanked 3-0 at Arsenal, and will hope to bounce back here.

Playing at home will suit them, having won two of their three league matches there and drawn the other.

Brest have scored in each of their three away matches, though they lost the latest one. There will still be calls for improvement on their away performances, as Brest have only managed one win in eight away league games.

That was against Le Havre in September. Away to Lille, Brest have a poor record, failing to win any of their last 11 visits, losing eight.  They will still come into this encounter confident of getting a positive result.

That will be driven by their comfortable 5-1 win in their last outing, at home against Angers. The win was just the right response to two defeats before the league took a three-week international break.

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Lille v Brest Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.84 3.80 3.95
1xbet
1.93 3.99 4.05
Melbet
1.86 3.84 3.90
Betwinner
1.86 3.84 3.90
22bet
1.86 3.84 3.90
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Brest?

Our prediction for the Lille vs Brest match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Lille and Brest in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.41% for a win of Lille against Brest with odds of 1.93 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Brest is 22.64% with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Lille with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.

Lille vs Brest Form

Lille and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Lille
13 6 4 1 1 +5
7 Brest
8 6 2 2 2 +3

Lille and Brest Last Matches

Lille
Lille Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Lille

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Le Havre

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  1
Lille

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Troyes

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Lille
2 :  3
Betis

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Le Havre

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Troyes

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Lille
2 :  3
Betis

28 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  2
PSG

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lille
3 :  0
RAAL La Louviere

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  2
Auxerre
W D W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Lille

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  1
Lille

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  2
Lille

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
1 :  1
Lille

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3 :  6
Lille
Brest
Brest Last matches
D W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
5 :  1
Angers

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
2 :  2
Monza

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
2 :  1
Brest

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  1
PSG

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse
D D D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
5 :  1
Angers

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
2 :  2
Monza

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  1
PSG

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
2 :  2
Venezia

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
3 :  3
Guingamp
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
2 :  1
Brest

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Brest

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
2 :  2
Brest

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Brest

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stade Briochin
1 :  2
Brest

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Brest

Lille vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lille

33 %

Draw

50 %

Brest

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Brest

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lille

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lille

6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  1
Brest

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  1
Lille

22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Brest
Lille vs Brest Prediction

Lille vs Brest last Lineups

Lille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Ozer
38
M. Goffi
3
N. Ngoy
4
A. Ribeiro
15
R. Perraud
6
N. Bentaleb
21
B. Andre
7
D. Bakwa
17
N. Mukau
10
H. Haraldsson
18
A. Ueda
19
L. Ajorque
9
P. Mboup
23
K. Doumbia
17
M. Balde
8
H. Magnetti
13
J. Chotard
2
B. Locko
4
G. Lloris
29
L. Tousart
70
K. Lala
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brest

Substitutes

Lille
Lille
Goalkeeper

O. Gill

T. Sajous

Defender

T. Nianzou

C. Verdonk

B. Onal

L. Srdanovic

I. Cossier

Midfielder

G. Perrin

O. Sahraoui

M. Kjaergaard

Forward

O. Giroud

S. Diaoune

Brest
Brest
Goalkeeper

M. Patouillet

Defender

L. Zogbe

J. Bourgault

E. Mailly

Midfielder

J. Nonge

M. Diambou

Forward

N. Edjouma

I. Kante

D. N'Guessan

Missing players

Lille
Lille
Defender

T. Santos

Midfielder

E. Mbappe

Forward

A. Ueda

H. Igamane

Brest
Brest
Defender

B. Chardonnet

R. Le Guen

Forward

G. Versini

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lille
CD Huachipato Brest
Top Goalscorer
Portugal T. Santos (2 Goals) , 
France D. Bakwa (2 Goals) , 
Japan A. Ueda (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mali K. Doumbia (4 Goals)
Best assists
France O. Giroud (2 Assists) , 
Denmark M. Kjaergaard (2 Assists)
Best assists
France H. Magnetti (2 Assists) , 
France J. Chotard (2 Assists)

Lille and Brest Stats in Ligue 1

Lille
Lille
Brest
Brest
67%
Wins
33%
17%
Losses
33%
17%
Draws
33%
2.17
Average goals per match
3.5
1.5
Goals scored per match
2
0.67
Goals conceded per match
1.5
67%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
67%
No goals conceded
0%
33%
BTTS
83%

Lille - Brest Key Points

  1. Brest scored five times in their last outing.
  2. Lille conceded three goals in their last outing.
  3. Five of Brest’s last six matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. 16 goals were netted in the last five meetings between these sides.
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Our Lille vs Brest Prediction

Lille have come up with the joint best defensive numbers in Ligue 1 after six rounds. Here they face the joint highest scorers, Brest. This fixture has averaged at least three goals in the last five meetings pitting these teams.

Lille have a point to prove after their devastating loss at Arsenal, while Brest will be looking to build on their big win over Angers. We may see both sides scoring here, but the match looks like a guarantee for a high-scoring fixture. Our prediction for Lille v Brest is for over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.