Mexico vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup continue this week, and on Sunday, Mexico will be taking on Australia at the Rose Bowl in California. El Tri have only conceded one goal in 2026, and our prediction is that the Socceroos may struggle to create many clear chances in this match.
It’s going to be a big summer for Mexico, as they are set to co-host the World Cup and many are expecting them to go deep in the competition. They are ranked 15th according to FIFA ahead of the global spectacle and have been drawn into Group A with South Africa, South Korea and Czechia.
Australia will also be looking forward to this year’s World Cup, having cracked a favourable draw in Group D, alongside the USA, Paraguay and Turkiye. The Socceroos are assembling for their first match since the FIFA Series in March, and this will give Tony Popovic a valuable chance to test out some of his fringe players. Let’s get into the key stats.
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Mexico v Australia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.7 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.78 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.65 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Australia?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Australia match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/05/2026 between Mexico and Australia in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46% for a win of Mexico against Australia with odds of 1.7 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Australia is 22.29% with odds of 3.78 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs Mexico with odds of 5.3 at Shangrila.
Mexico - Australia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Australia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 46% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.08% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mexico | 26.39% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Mexico vs Australia Form
Mexico and Australia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Mexico - Australia: Form Analysis
Mexico kicked off their 2026 World Cup preparations last weekend on a positive note, notching up an impressive 2-0 home victory against Ghana, who failed to register a single shot on target.
El Tricolour are now unbeaten in all six of their matches in 2026 (W4 D2) and kept clean sheets in five of those games, with the only exception being a 1-1 draw against Belgium on April 1.
However, the Mexicans have not fared too well north of the border in recent years. They are winless in their last five matches on American soil, which included losses in two of their last three games here.
Mexico are winless in their last three matches against Australia in all competitions (D1 L2)!
Meanwhile, Australia are preparing to feature in their sixth consecutive World Cup campaign and will be hoping to get beyond the Round of 16 in the competition for the first time ever this year.
The Socceroos lost their final three games in 2025 and failed to score in two of those matches, but they have yet to taste defeat this year, having beaten Cameroon and Curacao back in March.
The Aussies have also struggled to produce positive results in the USA, with each of their last three ending in defeat, while the last time they won a match here was prior to the turn of the century.
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Mexico against Australia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Ochoa
C. Acevedo
DefenderC. Montes
I. Reyes
J. Gallardo
O. Vargas
B. Gutierrez
E. Lira
G. Mora
J. Quinones
R. Alvarado
C. Huerta
S. Gimenez
R. Jimenez
A. Gonzalez
P. Izzo
P. Beach
DefenderK. Trewin
K. Rowles
A. Behich
M. Degenek
J. Geria
C. Burgess
P. Okon-Engstler
C. Devlin
ForwardN. Velupillay
N. Irankunda
A. Hrustic
M. Boyle
A. Mabil
Mexico & Australia Squad Analysis
Brian Gutierrez took just over a minute to open the scoring for Javier Aguirre’s side against Ghana last week, and he should start in midfield this weekend alongside Erik Lira.
Raul Jimenez missed the match against the Black Stars through illness and could be rested for this one as well, which should see either Armando Gonzalez or Guillermo Martinez Ayala start in the number nine role.
Both Marcel Ruiz (ACL) and Luis Malagon (Achilles) have been ruled out of this year’s World Cup due to serious injuries, while Santiago Gimenez is listed as a doubt owing to a knock.
Gutierrez has scored two goals in his last four starts for Mexico!
As for Australia, Feyenoord defender Jordan Bos had an excellent cameo in the last match, coming off the bench to score and provide an assist in his side’s 5-1 drubbing of Curacao in March.
Watford forward Nestory Irankunda bagged a brace off the bench in that match as well. The 20-year-old has now recorded five goals and an assist in just 13 appearances for the Socceroos.
Nicholas D’Agostino and Middlesbrough’s Riley McGree have been ruled out of the World Cup through injury, while Hayden Matthews and Patrick Yazbek are listed as doubts for this weekend.
Mexico - Australia Key Points
- Mexico have kept clean sheets in five of their six matches in 2026.
- Mexico have kept clean sheets in five of their six matches in 2026.
- Eight of Australia’s last 15 games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Australia have failed to score in their last two away matches.
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Our Mexico vs Australia Prediction
Mexico are heading to the 2026 FIFA World Cup as one of the dark horses. They have been in impressive form this year, currently unbeaten in six games, while having kept clean sheets in all but one of those matches.
Australia won both their games in March, but those wins were against significantly lower-ranked opponents than El Tri. With both camps expected to try out several players in this match, we feel that chances will be at a premium. Our Mexico vs Australia prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Mexico vs Australia Alternative Predictions
Mexico wins
Mexico are unbeaten in their six matches in 2026 and kept clean sheets in all but one of those matches. Australia have lost three of their last five internationals and their last two on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Australia
| Mexico vs Australia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 1.6 | 1.7 | +6.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.78 | -0.5% |
| Australia wins | 4.75 | 5.3 | +11.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 58.8% (-3.7%)
Mexico vs Australia - FAQs
The international friendly between Mexico and Australia will take place on May 31 at 02:00 UTC.
The international friendly between Mexico and Australia will be played at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, CA.
The international friendly between Mexico and Australia will be broadcast on Paramount + Australia, Fox Deportes and fuboTV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our international friendly livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
