Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
Melbourne City and Western United will meet in the second leg of their A-League semi-final tie on Saturday at AAMI Park. The winner of this tie between the Hearts and Western will face either Auckland or Melbourne Victory in the final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne City enter this match in a commanding position coming into this match, having romped to a 3-0 victory in the first leg last Friday.
German Ferreyra gave Hearts the lead in the 16th minute, while Yonatan Choen doubled their advantage just after the break, and Mathew Leckie netted the third in the final 20 minutes.
With that result, the hosts are now unbeaten in their last seven games since the end of March and have scored two or more goals in five matches during that period.
Meanwhile, despite having exactly 50% of possession and firing 14 shots at goal, Western United were wasteful in the first leg and now have a mountain to climb to get back in the tie.
That defeat ended Western’s three-match win streak and marked the first time they had conceded three goals in a single game since the start of December against the Big V.
The visitors have now lost each of their last five matches against this opponent, dating back to October 2023.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne City v Western United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.51 | 3.02 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Western United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Western United match is: Melbourne City wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2025 between Melbourne City and Western United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.12% for a win of Melbourne City against Western United with odds of 2.2 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Western United is 16.73% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Western United vs Melbourne City with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
Melbourne City - Western United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Western United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 53.12% | 2.2 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.18% | 1.6 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | 1.55 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne City/Melbourne City | 24.92% | 3.6 at Betsson |
Melbourne City vs Western United Form
Melbourne City and Western United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Mar 2025 - A-League
7 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - A-League
9 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
17 Apr 2025 - A-League
13 Apr 2025 - A-League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - A-League
9 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2025 - A-League
13 Apr 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
9 Feb 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Western United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 May 2025 - A-League
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Nov 2024 - A-League
28 Apr 2024 - A-League
21 Oct 2023 - A-League
22 Apr 2023 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Western United last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Western United
M. Tilio
(5 Goals)
, 
Y. Cohen
(5 Goals)
,
M. Memeti
(5 Goals)
,
M. Caputo
(5 Goals)
N. Botic
(14 Goals)
A. Kuen
(7 Assists)
R. Danzaki
(9 Assists)
Melbourne City - Western United Key Points
- Melbourne City have won seven of their last 10 games.
- Melbourne City have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
- Melbourne City have won their last five matches against this opponent.
- Western United have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
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Our Melbourne City vs Western United Prediction
Melbourne City turned up in a big way in the first leg, and if they get the first goal in this match, you get the feeling that there will be no way for Western United to get themselves back in this tie.
The issue for Western is that they have been conceding with regularity in recent times, allowing two or more goals in five of their last six games, while only managing one clean sheet in their last 10. Therefore, our Melbourne City vs Western United prediction is Melbourne City wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Western United
| Melbourne City vs Western United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.7 | 2.1 | +23.5% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.8 | -5.0% |
| Western United wins | 4.33 | 3.1 | -28.4% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 47.6% (-11.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne City vs. Western United game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne City and Western United? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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