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15 May 2024 - 15:00 

- Day 34

England - Premier League

Manchester United
VS
Newcastle

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester United face Newcastle United in the Premier League on Wednesday night with both teams battling hard for a place in Europe next season. In addition to challenging on the league front, United also have a chance to qualify through winning the FA Cup Final, where they face rivals Manchester City for the second time in 12 months. Prior to that they’ll complete their league campaign starting with this game against Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United. Newcastle are in good form, with just one defeat in their last eight games. With the home side eighth in the table and Newcastle sixth, three points ahead, a win is a must for Manchester United given Newcastle’s far superior goal difference. However, Newcastle are also battling Chelsea for a spot in Europe, so they too will feel they need maximum points from this game. All of which should set up an exciting match at Old Trafford on Wednesday night.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Newcastle Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 15 451
Ladbrokes
2.5 3.75 2.2
NetBet
2.52 3.7 2.3
Betwinner
2.7 3.96 2.33
Melbet
2.7 4 2.31
Tonybet
2.75 4 2.33
Check all Manchester United vs Newcastle odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Newcastle?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/15/24 between Manchester United and Newcastle in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.86% for a win of Manchester United against Newcastle with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Newcastle is 27.1% with odds of 15 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester United with odds of 451 at Bet365.

Manchester United - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester United Newcastle Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester United wins 38.86% 2.75 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 51.55% 3.2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United 18.08% 7.5 at Bet365

Manchester United vs Newcastle Form

Manchester United and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Newcastle
Newcastle
60 38 18 6 14 23
8
Manchester United
Manchester United
60 38 18 6 14 -1

Manchester United and Newcastle Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
D D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
2.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

12 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

6 May 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  0
Manchester United

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Burnley

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Sheffield United

21 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Coventry City
3 :  3
Manchester United

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United
Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Brighton

4 May 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  4
Newcastle

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  1
Sheffield United

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Newcastle

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  0
Tottenham

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Newcastle

Manchester United against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

17 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
17%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Manchester United

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle

2 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Manchester United

26 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
2 :  0
Newcastle

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Newcastle

27 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Manchester United
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Manchester United - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Manchester United boss Erik Ten Hag is under real pressure in the hot seat at Old Trafford. The Dutchman has seen his team win just twice in their last 11 games and they have lost both their last two matches, a 4-0 thrashing by Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park and a 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal at the weekend. The highest they can finish in the Premier League table is sixth, and to achieve that they need to beat Newcastle here, win at Brighton on the final day, and hope both Newcastle and Chelsea do not win either of their two remaining games. United fans and former players have been hugely critical of their teams efforts in recent weeks and anything less than a win here would only intensify those feelings of dissatisfaction. 

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United have hit good form a little late in the season, but five wins in their last eight games and only one defeat in that run, sees them sixth in the table. If Tottenham fail to pick up another point, Newcastle (or Chelsea) could squeeze into fifth if they were to win both their two remaining games. Newcastle’s biggest issue this season has been their away form. However, they have won two of their last three on the road as well as four of their last seven. They will also be confident having beaten Manchester United 1-0 earlier this season at St James’ Park. In fact, Newcastle have won all the last three against United without conceding a goal and they have lost just one of the last six matches between the two teams.

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Manchester United against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

24
A. Onana
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
18
Casemiro
35
J. Evans
20
D. Dalot
37
K. Mainoo
4
S. Amrabat
16
A. Diallo
39
S. McTominay
17
A. Garnacho
8
B. Fernandes
10
A. Gordon
14
A. Isak
23
J. Murphy
32
E. Anderson
39
B. Guimaraes
36
S. Longstaff
20
L. Hall
33
D. Burn
17
E. Krafth
2
K. Trippier
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

T. Malacia

L. Shaw

V. Lindelof

R. Varane

H. Maguire

Midfielder

M. Mount

Forward

A. Martial

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

S. Botman

J. Lascelles

M. Targett

T. Livramento

Midfielder

S. Tonali

L. Miley

J. Willock

Forward

C. Wilson

A. Gordon

Manchester United & Newcastle Squad Analysis

Manchester United’s lengthy injury list shows no real signs of improving for this game, but several players could be back in time for the FA Cup Final. Tyrell Malacia is ruled out until next season and Mason Mount is also out but with no date set for his return. However, Victor Lindelof, Anthony Martial, Lisandro Martinez, and Raphael Varane could be back for the final game of the season at the weekend. Luke Shaw and Harry Maguire both could be in contention for the FA Cup Final a week on Saturday. Several players with knocks should be fit to play against Newcastle however including Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Scott McTominay. 

Newcastle boss Eddie Howe also has a lengthy injury list. Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles are both out for the long term with serious knee injuries. Sandro Tonali remains suspended until next season, while Lewis Miley and Joe Willock have both been ruled out for the rest of the season. Matt Target remains on the sidelines with no return date from his achilles issue. On the positive side, both Fabian Schar and Callum Wilson could be in contention to play some part at Old Trafford.

Manchester United - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Over 2.5 goals were scored in five of Man Utd's six home games against teams ranked above them in the Premier League table.
  2. In Newcastle's eight matches against teams in the top half of the table as the visiting team, seven finished with over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. 64% of Man Utd’s games this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored, 56% with both teams scoring.
  4. 69% of Newcastle’s games this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored, 58% with both teams scoring.
  5. Newcastle games average 3.78 goals per game this season, the most in the Premier League.
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Our Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction

Neither Man Utd nor Newcastle have anything to gain from a draw in this match, so we expect this to be a game where both teams go for it. Both sides have been in amongst the goals of late, but they are also finding it tough to keep clean sheets in matches. Picking a result for this game with the two teams’ current record is tricky. So our prediction for Manchester United v Newcastle United is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals to be scored in the game.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Manchester United vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions

Alexander Isak (Newcastle United) to score at any time

With 20 Premier League goals to his name, Alexander Isak has been Newcastle's main striking threat this season. Most impressively, those 20 goals have come in just 28 games (including eight in his last eight appearances). He is without doubt Newcastle's focal point in attack and a huge threat on the counter-attack. With a draw suiting neither team, we expect plenty of chances to be created in this game. Therefore, our second Man Utd v Newcastle prediction is for Alexander Isak to score at any time in the game.

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Manchester United vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions

Manchester United will play Newcastle United on Wednesday 15th May in the Premier League. The game will take place at Old Trafford in Manchester and will kick off at 8pm UK Time.

Rob Jones will be the referee for Man Utd v Newcastle Utd in the Premier League on Wednesday night. 

Jones has officiated 21 EPL games prior to this one this season, handing out 89 yellow cards (4.24 per game on average) and a Premier League high of five red cards, (tied with Michael Oliver). It will be the second time he has officiated this fixture this season, having taken charge of the return fixture at St James’ Park, which Newcastle United won 1-0.

Sky Sports will be showing the Manchester United vs Newcastle United Premier League clash live from Old Trafford. The game will be shown on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.

Customers with a NOW TV subscription can also order the game and pay to watch the game live.

If you want a free service that offers real-time statistics and data updates from the game, along with text commentary, check out Sportytrader’s Premier League Live page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction
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