Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Cienciano need to move past their recent poor form to carry an advantage to the second leg as they host Montevideo in the first leg of the 2026 Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals. This match on Thursday at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega between the 15th-ranked ‘Red Fury’ and the 3rd-ranked ‘Torque’ could throw a surprise, and our prediction is a double chance for Montevideo.
After finishing second in Group B of the league stage with eight points (W2, D2, L2), Cienciano defeated Lanus (4-2 aggregate) and Botafogo (6-2 aggregate) to reach this stage. Montevideo qualified top of Group F with 13 points (W4, D1, L1) and defeated Tigre (3-1) in the round of 16 to make it to this fixture.
A 5-2 away win over Cajamarca last week ended Cienciano’s four-game winless run (D1, L3). Their form in this competition isn’t too dominating either, with two wins and defeats each in their last four games. They are slightly better at home, winning three of their latest five fixtures (D1, L1).
Montevideo won 2-1 at home last time out, their seventh win from the last eight games (L1). They also have four wins from their last five Copa Sudamericana games (D1), giving them quiet confidence. They have won four of their last five trips (L1), which could pave the way for an upset.
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Cienciano v Montevideo City Torque Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.47 | 4.60 | 7.60 |
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1.47 | 4.17 | 7.62 |
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1.48 | 4.32 | 6.90 |
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1.49 | 4.26 | 6.80 |
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1.47 | 4.17 | 7.62 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cienciano and Montevideo City Torque?
Our prediction for the Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque match is: draw or Montevideo City Torque.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2026 between Cienciano and Montevideo City Torque in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.48% for a win of Cienciano against Montevideo City Torque with odds of 1.5 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque is 10.76% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Montevideo City Torque vs Cienciano with odds of 7.62 at 1xbet.
Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cienciano Montevideo City Torque Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montevideo City Torque wins | 45.76% | 7.62 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.44% | 2.01 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 2.05 at Shangrila |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Montevideo City Torque | 20.18% | 15.00 at 1xbet |
Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque Form
Cienciano and Montevideo City Torque Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
30 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
16 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
29 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Aug 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
25 Jul 2026 - Liga 1 Perú
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Primera Division
1 Sept 2026 - Copa Uruguay
29 Aug 2026 - Primera Division
26 Aug 2026 - Copa Uruguay
23 Aug 2026 - Primera Division
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Primera Division
1 Sept 2026 - Copa Uruguay
23 Aug 2026 - Primera Division
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
31 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
24 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Primera Division
26 Aug 2026 - Copa Uruguay
15 Aug 2026 - Primera Division
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Jul 2026 - Primera Division
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Cienciano against Montevideo City Torque Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
G. Falcon
DefenderR. Aguilar
A. Yovera
R. Salazar
C. Nunez
S. Cavero
G. Aguirre
H. Caparo
ForwardM. Succar
D. La Torre Arana
R. Sandoval
J. Romagnoli
G. Rodriguez
M. Aguiar
DefenderN. Perez
E. Busquets
MidfielderL. Dure
J. Taran Baz
ForwardD. Guzman
N. da Silva
L. Andrade
I. Molina
R. Lecchini
Most goals and assists
Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque Key Points
- Cienciano won just four of their last 13 matches.
- Cienciano have failed to win six of their last ten games in the Copa Sudamericana.
- Montevideo have won seven of their last eight games.
- Montevideo have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight games in this competition.
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Our Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque Prediction
Cienciano managed to narrowly edge Juventud and Academia in Group B to finish second and qualify for the play-offs. Their recent form is also concerning, but the biggest positive for the fans is their record at home, where they won four of their last five games in the Copa Sudamericana. Montevideo are perhaps the underdogs for that reason, but their away form can’t be brushed off easily.
Montevideo could take advantage of their recent form and avoid defeat here, so our Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque prediction is draw or Montevideo City Torque.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cienciano Montevideo City Torque
| Cienciano vs Montevideo City Torque | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano wins | 1.51 | 1.50 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.60 | +21.1% |
| Montevideo City Torque wins | 5.30 | 7.62 | +43.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Montevideo City Torque is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 43.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 18.9% and is now 13.1% (-5.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.