Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Napoli will seek to open a gap at the Serie A summit when they travel to struggling Lecce on Saturday. This will be a matchday 35 encounter, which finds Napoli on 74 points and Lecce on 27, in position 17. Read on for our prediction of the match.
While these two sides are worlds apart, the three points on offer here mean a lot to either. Lecce would want a win here as a boost to their survival battle.
The hosts drew with Atalanta 1-1 in their last game and now are on 27 points, just one above the bottom three. At home, Lecce failed to score in three of the past five matches.
As Lecce take here an 11-match winless run, Napoli are coming from three straight victories, and each of them produced a clean sheet.
The most recent was a 2-0 outcome against Torino, which extended their unbeaten streak to eight matches. That win saw Napoli open up a three-point gap in the league title race. This was actually helped on by Inter Milan’s recent loss of form.
Napoli should now target doing better on the road, where they have just one win in seven.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 3.7 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.8 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.5 | 4 | 1.48 |
|
|
5.5 | 2.5 | 1.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Napoli match is: Napoli to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Lecce and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 7.92% for a win of Lecce against Napoli with odds of 7.9 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Napoli is 40.89% with odds of 4.15 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Lecce with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
Lecce - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 51.19% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 59.61% | 1.83 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 25.35% | 4.5 at Unibet |
Lecce vs Napoli Form
Lecce and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 32 |
|
17
|
34 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -31 |
Lecce and Napoli Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
30 Sep 2023 - Serie A
7 Apr 2023 - Serie A
31 Aug 2022 - Serie A
9 Feb 2020 - Serie A
Players list
W. Falcone
DefenderD. Veiga
K. Gaspar
F. Baschirotto
A. Gallo
MidfielderM. Berisha
T. Morente
N. Konan
L. Coulibaly
ForwardT. Helgason
N. Krstovic
A. Meret
DefenderG. Di Lorenzo
A. Rrahmani
M. Olivera
L. Spinazzola
MidfielderF. Anguissa
B. Gilmour
S. McTominay
ForwardC. Ngonge
G. Simeone
P. Billing
Substitutes
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderTiago Gabriel
M. Sala
D. Veiga
H. Rafia
Y. Ramadani
N. Konan
T. Helgason
A. Rebic
L. Banda
M. Berisha
N. Sansone
T. Morente
S. Scuffet
N. Contini
DefenderR. Marin
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderB. Gilmour
P. Billing
L. Hasa
ForwardN. Okafor
C. Ngonge
G. Simeone
Missing players
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
J. Jesus
A. Buongiorno
ForwardD. Neres
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Napoli
N. Krstovic
(11 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(14 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
R. Lukaku
(10 Assists)
Lecce - Napoli Key Points
- In their last three outings, Napoli won with a clean sheet.
- Lecce failed to score in six of their last eight home matches.
- Napoli are unbeaten in eight, winning five in that run.
- In nine home matches, Lecce are winless, losing six.
- Lecce are winless in five against Napoli.
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Our Lecce vs Napoli Prediction
Napoli are outright favorites, and with their current momentum, they should carry the day here. The visitors arrive for this game having won each of the last three matches, all with clean sheets.
They have battled in Serie A, taking advantage of Inter Milan’s slump to ascend to the top of the standings. That, and the fact that they have a dominant history against Lecce, places them at the top. Our prediction for the Lecce v Napoli match is for Napoli to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Napoli
| Lecce vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 5.75 | 6.5 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
| Napoli wins | 1.62 | 1.57 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 63.7% (2.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lecce vs. Napoli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lecce and Napoli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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