Gabon vs Mozambique Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Thobelani Moyo | in AFCON Predictions
After suffering a disappointing result in their opening match of the 2025 African Cup of Nations (Group f), Gabon are out to redeem themselves and register their first win of the competition when they battle it out against Mozambique at Stade Adrar on matchday two. Let's head into the match prediction.
Gabon are making their ninth appearance in the Africa Cup of Nations. The goal couldn't be clearer for the Panthers, who are aiming to progress beyond the group stages of this competition. Their best finish in this tournament was in 2012 when they reached the quarter-finals. It was their first quarter-final appearance since 1996. Importantly, their last appearance at AFCON was in 2021 when they got eliminated in the Round of 16.
Mozambique, on the other hand, are making their sixth appearance in this competition. The last time they graced this stage was in the previous edition, and they were eliminated in the group stages. Considering they are at the bottom of Group B, another group stage exit is imminent.
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Gabon v Mozambique Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.3 | 5.06 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.38 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.3 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.25 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Gabon and Mozambique?
Our prediction for the Gabon vs Mozambique match is: Gabon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Gabon and Mozambique in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.09% for a win of Gabon against Mozambique with odds of 1.85 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gabon vs Mozambique is 22.9% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Gabon with odds of 5.06 at Melbet.
Gabon - Mozambique Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gabon Mozambique Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gabon wins | 56.09% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 53.97% | 2.21 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.05% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gabon | 24.84% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Gabon vs Mozambique Form
Gabon and Mozambique's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
Gabon and Mozambique Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Gabon - Mozambique: Form Analysis
Gabon comes into this match seeking to record their first win in the 2025 African Cup of Nations to keep their hopes of reaching the knockout stages alive.
The Panthers had to face Cameroon in their opening match and couldn't get the better of a team that lacked cohesion. In that match, they found themselves on the receiving end of a 1-0 defeat. They had 54% of ball possession and registered 14 shots at goal.
To register their first three points in this competition, they'll need to be more clinical in the final third. Anything other than that won't do much.
Mozambique have gone 16 matches without a win in the AFCON finals. Will they be able to stop this unwanted run?
Mozambique was resilient in their match against the Ivory Coast despite the numbers not showing it. They avoided losing by a big margin and opted for a 1-0 defeat instead.
In light of that result, the Mambas have now gone 16 matches without a win in the Africa Cup of Nations. This run comprises 12 losses and four draws.
Recording a win here could turn out to be an arduous task considering they've won just one of their last four competitive matches in this fixture (D1, L2).
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Gabon against Mozambique Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Bekale
A. Ngoubi
DefenderA. Appindangoye
M. Onfia
J. Oyono
Y. M'Bemba
A. Moussounda
J. Obiang
MidfielderS. Nze Bagnama
A. Do Marcolino
T. Averlant
C. Loufilou
ForwardE. Essang-Matouti
M. Evouna
R. Openda
I. Urrubal
K. Zavala
DefenderInfren
E. Dove
MidfielderF. Jone
M. Kambala
J. Bonde
Chamboco
K. Abdala
G. Vilanculos
S. Ratifo
Chamito
M. Alexandre Garcia
O. Oscar
Missing players
U. Mboula
Gabon & Mozambique Squad Analysis
Andre Poko was forced off in the 72nd minute after suffering an apparent injury. The 32-year-old midfielder won't be available for this upcoming encounter.
Despite registering 14 shots at goal with three finding the target, they couldn't find the back of the net, and that's a department head coach needs to focus on if they are to avoid early elimination.
Surprisingly, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was left out of the starting lineup against Cameroon due to a knock. His introduction in the 33rd minute showed he is eligible to play the whole 90 minutes this Sunday, and the talisman should be able to score one for his team and extend his goal tally to
Witi has been searching for his first international goal for Mozambique since September 2025.
Mozambique did not look threateningin the final third against the Ivory Coast. Their lack of attacking output could turn out to be their demise here.
Witi is expected to lead the attack once again this Sunday. However, the 29-year-old did not have the best game last time out as he failed to make a single shot towards goal. That shouldn't come as a shock, considering he has not scored a competitive goal in international matches since September 2025.
Most goals and assists
Gabon
Mozambique
P. Aubameyang
(1 Goals)
,
A. Moussounda
(1 Goals)
,
K. Guelor
(1 Goals)
,
D. Bouanga
(1 Goals)
G. Catamo
(2 Goals)
W. Quembo
(1 Assists)
,
G. Catamo
(1 Assists)
,
Infren
(1 Assists)
Gabon - Mozambique Key Points
- Gabon have lost just one of their last six competitive international matches.
- Mozambique are winless in their last 16 AFCON matches.
- Gabon's recent match against Mozambique ended in a 2-0 victory.
- Mozambique have lost two of their last three competitive international matches.
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Our Gabon vs Mozambique Prediction
Gabon are the better side heading into this clash. They will be able to capitalize on Mozambique's poor showing in the Africa Cup of Nations. With Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang likely to start here, the team should be motivated to perform at their very best and secure maximum points.
Mozambique have not been at their best in this competition. Nothing much can be expected from a side that has gone 16 matches without a win. With that being said, Gabon should be able to secure all three points. Our Gabon vs Mozambique prediction: Gabon wins.
Gabon vs Mozambique Alternative Predictions
Half Time Result - Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gabon Mozambique
| Gabon vs Mozambique | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon wins | 1.85 | 1.85 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.55 | +4.4% |
| Mozambique wins | 4.33 | 5.06 | +16.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gabon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 54.1% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
