Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
28/12/2025 14:45
Inter Milan

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Serie A Predictions

Inter Milan will set their sights on staying ahead in the Serie A title race when they face Atalanta on matchday 17 on Sunday. This match in Bergamo between the ninth-placed La Dea and the first-placed Nerazzurri comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this weekend’s matches, Atalanta’s 22 points from 16 matches (W5, D7, L4) put them three points behind the top six. Inter have 33 points from 15 matches (W11, L4) and have a one-point lead over their immediate next challenger, AC Milan.

Atalanta won 1-0 away at Genoa last week to continue their recent resurgence. La Dea have won six of their seven recent games in all competitions (L1), including three of the last four in the league.

That included winning their last two at home, but those remain Atalanta’s only victories in their six recent Serie A matches at this venue (D3, L1).

Inter lost via penalties to Bologna in the Supercoppa Italiana for their second defeat in three competitive games. The lone win in that sequence came away at Genoa (2-1) in Serie A, and that was their tenth victory across 12 games (L2).

Even their form away from San Siro has been impressive, as Inter have won five of their last six league trips (L1), including three in a row.

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Atalanta v Inter Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.55 3.65 2.11
Melbet
3.52 3.6 2.03
Betwinner
3.52 3.6 2.03
Bet365
3.4 3.6 2.1
Roobet
3.4 3.5 2.08
Check all Atalanta vs Inter Milan odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Inter Milan?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Inter Milan match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Atalanta and Inter Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.68% for a win of Atalanta against Inter Milan with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Inter Milan is 15.88% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Atalanta with odds of 2.11 at Stake.

Atalanta - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta Inter Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 43.44% 2.11 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 65.07% 2.03 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 56.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan 16.12% 5.5 at Bet365

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Form

Atalanta and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15

Atalanta and Inter Milan Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina
D L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W W W L W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Inter Milan

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

0 %

Draw

0 %

Inter Milan

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

30 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

28 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Inter Milan

27 May 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta
Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction

Atalanta against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. de Roon
13
E. Silva
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
8
M. Pasalic
9
G. Scamacca
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
32
F. Dimarco
7
P. Zielinski
20
H. Calhanoglu
23
N. Barella
11
Luis Henrique
95
A. Bastoni
25
M. Akanji
31
Y. Bisseck
1
Y. Sommer

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

F. Rossi

Defender

L. Bernasconi

N. Zalewski 65'

G. Scalvini

H. Ahanor

P. Comi

Midfielder

Y. Musah

D. Zappacosta 46'

L. Samardzic

S. Kolasinac 75'

M. Brescianini

Forward

K. Sulemana

M. Pasalic 58'

D. Maldini

N. Krstovic

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

J. Martinez

A. Taho

Defender

S. De Vrij

S. Cinquegrano

M. Cocchi

C. Augusto

F. Dimarco 76'

Midfielder

D. Frattesi

P. Zielinski 84'

A. Diouf

L. Martinez 84'

H. Mkhitaryan

N. Barella 76'

P. Sucic

Forward

F. Esposito

M. Thuram 64'

M. Spinacce

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

R. Bellanova

M. Bakker

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

T. Palacios

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals)
Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)

Atalanta - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. Four of Atalanta’s last six league matches saw over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Before this round, Inter Milan’s matches averaged a league-high 3.20 goals per game.
  3. Away from home, Inter’s seven league fixtures this season averaged 3.14 goals per match.
  4. Five of Inter’s last eight league games produced three or more goals.
  5. Three of Inter’s last four away league games saw at least three goals scored.
  6. Five of the last six Serie A matches between these sides produced three or more goals.
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Our Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction

Inter returned empty-handed from Saudi Arabia and will now set their sights on keeping their lead in Serie A intact. With the next two teams right below them separated by just two points, the Nerazzurri can’t afford to drop points here. Atalanta have seen their recent league fortunes improve in recent times, winning three of their last four Serie A matches.

Atalanta have a dire record against Inter in recent years, but we are backing goals here. Our Atalanta vs Inter Milan prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Inter Milan

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atalanta wins 3.85 3.65 -5.2%
Draw 3.5 3.7 +5.7%
Inter Milan wins 1.9 2.11 +11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Inter Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 47.4% (-5.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.