Germany - Bundesliga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions
There’s everything to play for when Holstein Kiel and Freiburg face off in the 33rd round in the Bundesliga. Hosts Holstein Kiel seek to keep their slim survival hopes alive, while Freiburg are in control of their fate as they chase a Champions League slot. Read on for our prediction of this match.
In their survival bid, Holstein are best placed targeting the playoffs. Any point won by 15th-placed Hoffenheim will leave them with only that option. At the moment, Heidenheim sit in the playoff position, a point ahead of Holstein Kiel.
Wins over Borussia Monchengladbach and Augsburg in the last two matches boosted Holstein’s hopes.
Freiburg lost a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with Bayer Leverkusen last time out and will hope to do better this time. That draw halted their run of three straight wins in their chase for a top four finish.
It was the third time in four matches that they scored two or more goals. Their recent matches have been high-scoring, a feature that may follow this match too, given that the hosts have also been good in attack.
A six-match unbeaten run away from home, with four wins, gives Freiburg an extra edge. In the reverse match, they survived late pressure, holding on to beat Holstein Kiel 3-2 at home.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holstein Kiel v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.7 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.71 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.65 | 2.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.3% for a win of Holstein Kiel against Freiburg with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg is 29.94% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Form
Holstein Kiel and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
52 | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | -3 |
|
17
|
25 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -27 |
Holstein Kiel and Freiburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Missing players
I. Nekic
C. Kleine-Bekel
M. Komenda
MidfielderP. Erras
A. Kelati
B. Ogbus
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
S. Machino
(12 Goals)
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
F. Porath
(4 Assists)
V. Grifo
(11 Assists)
Holstein Kiel and Freiburg Stats in Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Key Points
- The two meetings between these teams had over 2.5 goals.
- Six of Freiburg’s last seven matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- 18 goals were scored in Holstein Kiel’s last five matches.
- Both teams scored in four of Freiburg’s last five matches.
- In Holstein Kiel’s last five matches, both teams scored.
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Our Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction
Holstein Kiel’s final home match of the season happens to be Freiburg’s last on the road. To both teams, this is a crucial match. Holstein Kiel’s survival in the Bundesliga is not in their hands, but winning this game keeps that hope alive.
At Freiburg, a win here moves them closer to securing Champions League football. Looking at the stakes, we expect both teams to give their best shot here. So, like it has been in their previous outings, our prediction for Holstein Kiel v Freiburg is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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