Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
10/05/2025 09:30
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions

There’s everything to play for when Holstein Kiel and Freiburg face off in the 33rd round in the Bundesliga. Hosts Holstein Kiel seek to keep their slim survival hopes alive, while Freiburg are in control of their fate as they chase a Champions League slot. Read on for our prediction of this match.

In their survival bid, Holstein are best placed targeting the playoffs. Any point won by 15th-placed Hoffenheim will leave them with only that option. At the moment, Heidenheim sit in the playoff position, a point ahead of Holstein Kiel.

Wins over Borussia Monchengladbach and Augsburg in the last two matches boosted Holstein’s hopes.

Freiburg lost a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with Bayer Leverkusen last time out and will hope to do better this time. That draw halted their run of three straight wins in their chase for a top four finish.

It was the third time in four matches that they scored two or more goals. Their recent matches have been high-scoring, a feature that may follow this match too, given that the hosts have also been good in attack.

A six-match unbeaten run away from home, with four wins, gives Freiburg an extra edge. In the reverse match, they survived late pressure, holding on to beat Holstein Kiel 3-2 at home.

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Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Form

Holstein Kiel and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Freiburg
55 34 16 7 11 -4
17 Holstein Kiel
25 34 6 7 21 -31

Holstein Kiel and Freiburg Last Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel Last matches
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Holstein Kiel

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  3
Mönchengladbach

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
St. Pauli

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Werder Bremen
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  3
Mönchengladbach

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
St. Pauli

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Werder Bremen

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Bochum
L W L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Holstein Kiel

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
L L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Freiburg

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
Freiburg

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin
D L L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin

20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Freiburg
1 :  2
Karlsruher

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Freiburg

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
Freiburg

15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Freiburg

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg

Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Holstein Kiel

0 %

Draw

0 %

Freiburg

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11

Holstein Kiel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

21
T. Dahne
17
T. Becker
5
C. Johansson
26
D. Zec
23
L. Rosenboom
24
M. Knudsen
37
A. Gigovic
47
J. Tolkin
7
S. Skrzybski
11
A. Bernhardsson
18
S. Machino
20
J. Adamu
44
J. Manzambi
32
V. Grifo
6
P. Osterhage
8
M. Eggestein
42
R. Doan
33
J. Makengo
3
P. Lienhart
28
M. Ginter
37
M. Rosenfelder
1
N. Atubolu

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Freiburg

Substitutes

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Goalkeeper

T. Weiner

Defender

M. Geschwill

Midfielder

L. Holtby

A. Gigovic 79'

M. Ivezic

F. Porath

J. Tolkin 71'

M. Schulz

Forward

B. Pichler

C. Johansson 79'

F. Arp

P. Harres

L. Rosenboom 61'

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

J. Huth

Defender

K. Sildillia

J. Adamu 90'

C. Gunter

V. Grifo 76'

L. Kubler

M. Rosenfelder 76'

Midfielder

F. Muslija

M. Rohl

N. Hofler

R. Doan 90'

Forward

L. Holer

J. Manzambi 46'

M. Gregoritsch

Missing players

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Defender

M. Komenda

I. Nekic

Midfielder

P. Erras

A. Kelati

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Holstein Kiel
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Japan S. Machino (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan R. Doan (10 Goals)
Best assists
Germany F. Porath (3 Assists)
Germany S. Skrzybski (3 Assists)
Japan S. Machino (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (11 Assists)

Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Key Points

  1. The two meetings between these teams had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Six of Freiburg’s last seven matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. 18 goals were scored in Holstein Kiel’s last five matches.
  4. Both teams scored in four of Freiburg’s last five matches.
  5. In Holstein Kiel’s last five matches, both teams scored.
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Our Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction

Holstein Kiel’s final home match of the season happens to be Freiburg’s last on the road. To both teams, this is a crucial match. Holstein Kiel’s survival in the Bundesliga is not in their hands, but winning this game keeps that hope alive.

At Freiburg, a win here moves them closer to securing Champions League football. Looking at the stakes, we expect both teams to give their best shot here. So, like it has been in their previous outings, our prediction for Holstein Kiel v Freiburg is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
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Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg Prediction