Tip Germany W - Spain W
Both the Germans and the Spanish made winning starts in France, though neither side was without complications during the first round of games. Germany needed an excellent individual effort from 19-year-old Giulia Gwinn, while the Spanish were a goal down and heading for defeat before they rallied late on, scoring three goals inside the final 21 minutes. On the face of it, Germany struggled to overcome China on match-day one, though they were far more in control than the score-line would have us believe. From start to finish, the German dominated the game; they got forward, created plenty of chances and really ought to have scored one or two more goals. While the Germans won by only a single goal, Spain notched three late goals on route to beating South Africa, while they also created more opportunities than Die Nationalelf. First time out, Germany posted 2.06 expected goals for, while Spain created 3.4, though it must be said that Spain’s opening task was somewhat easier. South Africa are ranked as the 49th best team in the world, while the Chinese currently sit 16th in the rankings. On balance, despite what the scores may suggest, the Germans fared better on match-day one. Unlike the Spanish, they didn’t go a goal down, while they were facing tougher opposition. Couple this with the fact that they currently rank as the second-best team in the world and Martina Voss-Tecklenburg’s women deserve to come into this match as favourites. However, deserving to be favourites is one thing, deserving to be odds-on favourites is another. Spain showed that they’ve got plenty in the tank on match-day one, while they matched the Germans when the pair drew 0-0 less than a year ago. On this basis, it’s easy to feel that Die Nationalelf are too short. In turn, making a case for the Spanish is not difficult at all. Not only did the Spanish hold Germany less than 12 months ago, but they also secured pleasing draws against both Canada and Japan prior to this tournament.
Key points Germany W - Spain W
Both teams have winnings start to the campaign.
Germany beat Spain less than 12 months ago.
The Germans are ranked 2 in the world.
Conclusion Germany W - Spain W
At the end of the day, the Germans are ranked second in the world for a reason, but they’re not up against any old team. The Spanish have plenty of quality, especially on the ball. It may be that Germany justify short-priced favouritism, but all things considered, they appear to have slightly less of a chance of claiming victory than the early betting suggests, so a small play on ‘Spain +1 Handicap’ is merited.
Germany W Spain W Prediction published on June 11, 2019