Portugal vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Portugal begin life without Cristiano Ronaldo after his recent retirement from international football. They are top of Nations League A4 and host second-placed Denmark who are six points behind them. The Lusitanians have led at the break and the end of the game in three of their four group games. Our prediction here is backing the hosts to get out to a fast start and earn all three points.
The Portuguese side are the Nations League holders and have already confirmed their place in the last eight of the 2026-27 tournament. They will want to go on and win the group and avoiding defeat in this match will ensure that is the case, with or without Ronaldo. They've won five of their last six games against Denmark.
Denmark are second in the group and three points clear of third-placed Wales. Their final group game after this match is at home to bottom-placed Norway who are six points adrift of the Red and Whites. They have won two of their group matches, but lost the other couple of matches. In both of their group losses, they trailed at half and full time.
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Portugal v Denmark Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.50 | 5.40 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.70 | 6.11 |
|
|
1.50 | 4.60 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.50 | 4.94 | 5.95 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Denmark?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Denmark match is: half-time/full-time: Portugal/Portugal.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2026 between Portugal and Denmark in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.6% for a win of Portugal against Denmark with odds of 1.53 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Denmark is 25.6% with odds of 4.94 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Denmark vs Portugal with odds of 6.25 at Betwinner.
Portugal vs Denmark Form
Portugal and Denmark's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
2
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Portugal and Denmark Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Portugal vs Denmark Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
Portugal - Denmark: Form Analysis
Defending champions Portugal have already secured their place in the Nations League quarter-finals. They have won all four of their group matches with a goal difference of +5. Portugal began the group with a 1-0 home victory over Wales. That was followed by a 2-1 away win in Norway
A third victory came when the Lusitanians defeated Denmark 4-2 away from home. Their 100 percent record was maintained as they came from behind to beat Norway 2-1 at home. In their last 14 matches, their only loss has been to eventual champions Spain in this summer's World Cup. Not since 2024 have they been beaten on home soil.
The Danes are under pressure to qualify.
Denmark have to win this match to retain any chance of winning the group. They are three points clear of third place and would be helped by Wales drawing with Norway at the weekend. The Red and Whites have won two of their four group games, both against Wales.
They were beaten away in Norway and lost the reverse fixture against Portugal 4-2. Only one of their last five away games has been won.
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Portugal vs Denmark last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
S. Soares
R. Silva
DefenderT. Araujo
N. Tavares
D. Dalot
MidfielderJ. Neves
R. Neves
B. Silva
ForwardF. Silva
R. Leao
F. Trincao
P. Neto
F. Jorgensen
A. Jungdal
DefenderL. Hogsberg
V. Nelsson
A. Gaaei
MidfielderM. Bidstrup
A. Daghim
T. Jorgensen
ForwardA. Skov Olsen
K. Hogh
M. Kvistgaarden
Portugal & Denmark Squad Analysis
The big team news is of course the international retirement of Cristiano Ronaldo. His international career didn't quite end the way he wanted it to and perhaps calling it a day after the World Cup would have been a better idea. Now Portugal have to begin life without their all-time top goalscorer.
Felix is in top form.
They do at least still have Joao Felix who scored in each of their first three games in this Nations League group. There are some other selection problems with Leao, Tavares, Mendes and Araujo absent. Flavio Nazinho is in the squad for the first time.
Denmark will hope to take advantage of Ronaldo's absence. They have already lost twice in this group (including at home to Portugal) and regularly struggle on the road. They will be hoping that Rasmus Hojlund can score for a third consecutive game. He scored the winner from the penalty spot as Denmark won in Wales in their most recent group fixture.
With the reverse fixture being lost by two goals and the Danes trailing Portugal by six points, they have so much work to do to win the group. They have conceded seven goals in their four fixtures to date and need to tighten up at the back if they want to get anything from this match.
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Denmark
Joao Felix
(3 Goals)
,
G. Ramos
(3 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(3 Goals)
N. Mendes
(2 Assists)
,
B. Fernandes
(2 Assists)
J. Maehle
(1 Assists)
,
M. Damsgaard
(1 Assists)
Portugal and Denmark Stats in UEFA Nations League
Portugal - Denmark Key Points
- Portugal have won all of their group matches.
- Portugal's only loss in their last 14 games has been to Spain.
- Portugal won the reverse fixture 4-2 making it five wins in their last six games against Denmark.
- Denmark have only won one of their last five away games.
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Our Portugal vs Denmark Prediction
Just a point will see already qualified Portugal win this Nations League group. They won't have Cristiano Ronaldo anymore but they still have an excellent squad and the future looks bright for the Lusitanians. The reverse fixture against Denmark was won 4-2.
All the pressure is on the Danes as they try to make it into the quarter-finals. They struggled at home to Portugal and concede far too many goals. Their away form is poor too. Our main Portugal v Denmark prediction is: half-time/full-time: Portugal/Portugal.
Portugal vs Denmark Alternative Predictions
Portugal wins
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Portugal vs Denmark - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
