Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
03/05/2026 13:30
Wolfsburg

Prediction :

 

Freiburg wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Bundesliga matchday 32 ends with a Sunday clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, with both teams desperate for a win for contrasting reasons. This match in Freiburg between the 8th-placed Breisgau Brazilians and the 17th-placed Wolves comes with our prediction of a home win.

Ahead of this matchday, Freiburg have 43 points (W12, D7, L12) and are only behind seventh on goal difference. Wolfsburg have 25 points (W6, D7, L18) and are one point behind the relegation play-off spot and three above the basement.

Freiburg lost 2-1 away at Braga in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League semis on Thursday. They still have the second leg to play for, but right now, the priority would be to halt a run of three consecutive defeats.

That includes a 4-0 drubbing at Dortmund last weekend, but a return to home could be good news. Freiburg have seven wins from their last 11 home league games, as they aim to return to winning ways.

Wolfsburg drew 0-0 at home against Monchengladbach last weekend to stay in the relegation zone. That’s four points in two games (W1, D1) after going winless in 12 Bundesliga outings (D3, L9).

That win came on the road in their last trip, but five defeats in seven away league games before (D2) are a cause of concern for the Wolves.

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Freiburg v Wolfsburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.55 3.55 2.7
Melbet
2.54 3.56 2.65
Betwinner
2.54 3.56 2.65
Bet365
2.55 3.5 2.7
Roobet
2.48 3.55 2.64
Check all Freiburg vs Wolfsburg odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Wolfsburg?

Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match is: Freiburg wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Freiburg and Wolfsburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.88% for a win of Freiburg against Wolfsburg with odds of 2.63 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Wolfsburg is 22.03% with odds of 3.7 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolfsburg vs Freiburg with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.

Freiburg - Wolfsburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Freiburg Wolfsburg Prediction Probability Odds
Freiburg wins 48.88% 2.63 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 68.72% 1.83 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 63.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg 21.54% 6.75 at LSbet

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Form

Freiburg and Wolfsburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 -6
16 Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 -24

Freiburg and Wolfsburg Last Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
2 :  1
Freiburg

26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  3
Freiburg

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

9 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  0
Celta Vigo

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
5 :  1
Genk

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Union Berlin

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
2 :  1
Freiburg

26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  3
Freiburg

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg

22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Last matches
D L L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Mönchengladbach

18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  2
Wolfsburg

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
6 :  3
Wolfsburg

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  1
Wolfsburg
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Mönchengladbach

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Hamburg

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Augsburg

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
L D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  2
Wolfsburg

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
6 :  3
Wolfsburg

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

83 %

Draw

0 %

Wolfsburg

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Freiburg

13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Wolfsburg

9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Freiburg

19 May 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  0
Wolfsburg

Freiburg against Wolfsburg Lineups: Starting 11

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
29
P. Treu
43
B. Ogbus
28
M. Ginter
30
C. Gunter
8
M. Eggestein
44
J. Manzambi
19
J. Beste
14
Y. Suzuki
32
V. Grifo
9
L. Holer
11
A. Daghim
17
D. Pejcinovic
24
C. Eriksen
39
P. Wimmer
21
J. Maehle
5
V. Souza
26
S. Kumbedi
4
K. Koulierakis
3
D. Vavro
6
J. Belocian
1
K. Grabara

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

Wolfsburg

Substitutes

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

J. Makengo

P. Lienhart

B. Ogbus 58'

L. Kubler

C. Gunter 72'

Midfielder

N. Hofler

Y. Suzuki 81'

Forward

C. Irie

I. Matanovic

L. Holer 58'

D. Scherhant

V. Grifo 71'

M. Philipp

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Goalkeeper

P. Pervan

Defender

M. Jenz

K. Koulierakis 90'

A. Zehnter

Midfielder

M. Svanberg

V. Souza 73'

L. Majer

P. Wimmer 72'

K. Paredes

Y. Gerhardt

C. Eriksen 90'

Forward

M. Amoura

A. Daghim 87'

K. Shiogai

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

M. Rosenfelder

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

P. Osterhage

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Defender

Rogerio

K. Fischer

J. Seelt

Cleiton

Midfielder

B. Dardai

Forward

J. Wind

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Wolfsburg
Top Goalscorer
Croatia I. Matanovic (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Pejcinovic (9 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (4 Assists)
Switzerland J. Manzambi (4 Assists)
Germany M. Ginter (4 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark C. Eriksen (8 Assists)

Freiburg - Wolfsburg Key Points

  1. Wolfsburg lost nine of their last 13 Bundesliga games, winning only once.
  2. Wolfsburg were beaten in five of their last eight away league matches.
  3. Freiburg won 13 of their last 17 matches at home in all competitions, losing only two.
  4. Freiburg won the last three Bundesliga matches between these sides, two of which saw BTTS.
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Our Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Three defeats on the trot, in three different competitions, have taken the steam off Freiburg, but they are still in line to finish well. The return leg of the UEFA Europa League semis is on the horizon, and winning here will get their confidence back. They have been one of the best home teams of late, which should be bad news for Wolfsburg, who are still struggling to get out of the relegation zone.

The home side could edge this contest, so our Freiburg vs Wolfsburg prediction is Freiburg wins.

Prediction :

 

Freiburg wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Wolfsburg

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Freiburg wins 1.92 2.63 +37.0%
Draw 4.04 3.7 -8.4%
Wolfsburg wins 4.04 2.8 -30.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Freiburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 37.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 38.0% (-14.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction