Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Hamburg
17/10/2026 09:30
Stuttgart

Prediction :

 

Hamburg or Draw

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Only goal difference separates Hamburg and Stuttgart ahead of their matchday six encounter on Saturday in the Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion. This match between the 12th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the 11th-placed ‘Swabians’ could throw a surprise result with our match prediction backing the hosts on a double chance.

Ahead of this round, both teams have six points (W2, L3), and the only goal difference puts Stuttgart above the home team. The sides are just two points above the relegation zone.

Hamburg won 3-2 away at Hoffenheim last weekend to make it three wins in a row, including a friendly. The other victory came in the fourth match, where they won 2-1 against Koln.

That victory came at this venue, and Hamburg have lost just three of their last eight home league matches. They have also won 2-1 when Stuttgart visited this venue last league campaign, so Hamburg will be confident of continuing their winning run.

Stuttgart won 3-0 at Slovan Bratislava on Wednesday in the UEFA Champions League to record four wins in a row – including two friendlies. They have also won 2-0 at Paderborn last matchday, their second victory in five matches so far. The challenge is to perform on the road, where Stuttgart have just one win from their last six away league games.

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Hamburg v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.85 4.10 1.79
1xbet
4.09 4.09 1.90
Melbet
3.94 3.94 1.83
Betwinner
3.94 3.94 1.83
22bet
3.94 3.94 1.83
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Stuttgart?

Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match is: Hamburg or draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Hamburg and Stuttgart in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.08% for a win of Hamburg against Stuttgart with odds of 4.09 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Stuttgart is 4.65% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs Hamburg with odds of 1.9 at 1xbet.

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Form

Hamburg and Stuttgart's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Stuttgart
6 5 2 0 3 -1
12 Hamburg
6 5 2 0 3 -10

Hamburg and Stuttgart Last Matches

Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Hamburg

4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Köln

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Köln

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
3 :  1
Heidenheim

10 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Freiburg
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Hamburg

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
3 :  2
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Stuttgart Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
0 :  3
Stuttgart

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  2
Stuttgart

1 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
5 :  0
Greuther Furth

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  0
Heidenheim

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  1
Stuttgart
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
5 :  0
Greuther Furth

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  0
Heidenheim

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Viking FK

4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  1
Köln

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Everton
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
0 :  3
Stuttgart

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  2
Stuttgart

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  1
Stuttgart

28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Stuttgart

21 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hansa Rostock
0 :  4
Stuttgart

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fulham
1 :  0
Stuttgart

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Hamburg

33 %

Draw

0 %

Stuttgart

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Hamburg

30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Stuttgart

5 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  3
Stuttgart

1 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  0
Hamburg

28 May 2020 - 2. Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  2
Hamburg

26 Oct 2019 - 2. Bundesliga

Hamburg
6 :  2
Stuttgart
Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction

Hamburg vs Stuttgart last Lineups

Hamburg

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
D. Fernandes
17
W. Omari
33
S. Bornauw
37
L. Lemke
24
N. Capaldo
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
21
N. Remberg
3
D. Moller Wolfe
20
F. Vieira
5
M. Adeline
15
Y. Poulsen
17
D. Pejcinovic
10
C. Fuhrich
26
D. Undav
11
B. El Khannouss
6
A. Stiller
21
G. Promel
3
R. Hendriks
24
J. Chabot
29
F. Jeltsch
4
J. Vagnoman
1
F. Bredlow

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Stuttgart

Substitutes

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

S. Tangvik

Defender

J. Torunarigha

M. Muheim

S. Nandja

Midfielder

K. Amoako

I. Pherai

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

O. Stange

T. Moffi

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Goalkeeper

M. Funk

D. Seimen

Defender

L. Assignon

L. Jaquez

Midfielder

Y. Spalt

A. Karazor

J. Leweling

Forward

E. Demirovic

L. Sauer

Missing players

Hamburg
Hamburg
Midfielder

A. Gronbaek

Forward

P. Daka

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Defender

D. Zagadou

A. Al-Dakhil

Forward

T. Tomas

J. Diehl

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Hamburg
CD Huachipato Stuttgart
Top Goalscorer
Denmark Y. Poulsen (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Vagnoman (2 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark A. Gronbaek (2 Assists)
Best assists
Germany A. Stiller (2 Assists)

Hamburg and Stuttgart Stats in Bundesliga

Hamburg
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
40%
Wins
40%
60%
Losses
60%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
3.4
1
Goals scored per match
1.6
3
Goals conceded per match
1.8
20%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
0%
No goals conceded
20%
40%
BTTS
60%

Hamburg - Stuttgart Key Points

  1. Hamburg have won their last two Bundesliga games.
  2. Five of Hamburg’s last eight league games saw them avoid a defeat.
  3. Stuttgart have failed to win five of their last six away league games.
  4. Stuttgart could win only three of their last ten Bundesliga matches.
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Our Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction

These two have identical records coming into this round, with only goal difference separating them. Both sides also have back-to-back wins – Hamburg winning both their recent Bundesliga games, while Stuttgart winning one in the league and the other in the Champions League. That said, it won’t be a straightforward game for the visitors, who could be tested on this trip.

Hamburg won this corresponding fixture 2-1 last season and will look to make it tough for their visitors here. Our Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction is Hamburg or draw.

Prediction :

 

Hamburg or Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.