Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
17/10/2026 09:30
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Prediction :

 

Schalke 04 or Draw

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Newly-promoted Schalke will hope to put a check to Mainz’s impressive away form when the sides clash on matchday six of the Bundesliga on Saturday. This match at the Veltins Arena between the 13th-placed ‘Royal Blues’ and the 8th-placed ‘05ers’ could keep the hosts interested, with our match prediction backing Schalke on a double chance.

With five points (W1, D2, L2), Schalke are only a point above the relegation zone ahead of this round. Mainz have seven points (W2, D1, L2) and are only two points outside the top five.

Schalke were close to upsetting the calculations of Freiburg, but a late goal saw them lose 2-1. It was their first defeat in the last four league games, though (W1, D2), as the Royal Blues look to make an instant bounce back.

This venue has seen the stubborn Schalke eke out two 0-0 draws in the Bundesliga, with one of those coming against Bayern Munich.

Mainz lost 4-3 at home against Bayer Leverkusen last matchday for a second defeat in their last three league games (W1). Their matches have been entertaining, though, as Mainz’s Bundesliga games averaged 4.6 goals per game ahead of this round.

Mainz enjoy their travels and have gone undefeated in eight Bundesliga matches (W6, D2), including four consecutive victories.

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Schalke 04 v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.00 3.65 2.21
1xbet
3.16 3.68 2.34
Melbet
3.05 3.54 2.26
Betwinner
3.05 3.54 2.26
22bet
3.05 3.54 2.26
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What is the prediction for the football match between Schalke 04 and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?

Our prediction for the Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Schalke 04 or draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Schalke 04 and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.01% for a win of Schalke 04 against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 3.16 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 20.8% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.19% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 with odds of 2.34 at 1xbet.

Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form

Schalke 04 and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 1 Fsv Mainz 05
7 5 2 1 2 +3
13 Schalke 04
5 5 1 2 2 -2

Schalke 04 and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04 Last matches
D W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Austria Lustenau
0 :  1
Schalke 04

24 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Oberhausen
2 :  5
Schalke 04

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Spvgg Elversberg

11 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  3
Schalke 04

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Spvgg Elversberg

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
3 :  1
Fagiano Okayama

17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
Braunschweig
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Austria Lustenau
0 :  1
Schalke 04

24 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Oberhausen
2 :  5
Schalke 04

11 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  3
Schalke 04

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  0
Schalke 04

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  5
Schalke 04
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last matches
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

VfB 1921 Krieschow
0 :  9
1 Fsv Mainz 05
D W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  0
Paris FC

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  3
Udinese
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

6.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
5.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

VfB 1921 Krieschow
0 :  9
1 Fsv Mainz 05

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

TSG Pfeddersheim
0 :  11
1 Fsv Mainz 05

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

3 May 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Schalke 04

67 %

Draw

33 %

1 Fsv Mainz 05

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

5 May 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  3
Schalke 04

9 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

5 Mar 2021 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

7 Nov 2020 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Schalke 04

9 Mar 2018 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Schalke 04

20 Oct 2017 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
2 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction

Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups

Schalke 04

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
L. Karius
39
M. Wober
25
N. Katic
4
H. Kurucay
17
A. Gantenbein
23
S. El-Faouzi
13
S. Tanaka
8
R. Gosens
19
K. Karaman
20
J. Adamu
9
M. Sylla
9
P. Tietz
23
S. Becker
5
E. Martel
10
N. Amiri
2
P. Mwene
6
K. Sano
19
A. Caci
48
K. Potulski
3
F. Gruber
4
S. Posch
1
A. Schwolow

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

1 Fsv Mainz 05

Substitutes

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Goalkeeper

K. Muller

Defender

M. Ayhan

V. Becker

T. Becker

Midfielder

A. Aouchiche

E. Ebimbe

H. Hee-chan

R. Schallenberg

Forward

E. Dzeko

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

M. Kinzig

Defender

D. da Costa

S. Bell

R. Nakuzola

Midfielder

L. Jae-sung

L. Maloney

S. Kawasaki

Forward

B. Hollerbach

R. Konigsdorffer

Missing players

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

R. Zentner

Midfielder

D. Kohr

O. Ruoppi

Forward

S. Katompa Mvumpa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Schalke 04
CD Huachipato 1 Fsv Mainz 05
Top Goalscorer
Germany R. Gosens (1 Goals) , 
Austria M. Wober (1 Goals) , 
Algeria A. Aouchiche (1 Goals) , 
Switzerland A. Gantenbein (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany P. Tietz (4 Goals)
Best assists
South Korea H. Hee-chan (1 Assists) , 
Austria J. Adamu (1 Assists)
Best assists
Suriname S. Becker (3 Assists)

Schalke 04 and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats in Bundesliga

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
20%
Wins
40%
40%
Losses
40%
40%
Draws
20%
2
Average goals per match
4.6
0.8
Goals scored per match
2.6
1.2
Goals conceded per match
2
40%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
40%
No goals conceded
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

Schalke 04 - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points

  1. Schalke have avoided defeat in three of their last four Bundesliga matches.
  2. Schalke are unbeaten in their last six league matches against Mainz.
  3. Mainz have failed to win seven of their last 11 Bundesliga games.
  4. Schalke have drawn their two Bundesliga home games this season.
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Our Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction

Schalke looked set to pick up a point against Freiburg last time out, but a late goal denied them a draw. They have won just once in this league campaign, but the loss to Freiburg was their only defeat in the last four Bundesliga games. Mainz have struggled for wins in the Bundesliga, although their away record has been an anomaly.

Mainz have a great record on the road in the Bundesliga lately, but we are backing Schalke to spring a surprise here. Our Schalke 04 vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is Schalke 04 or draw.

Prediction :

 

Schalke 04 or Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.