Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The top two scoring teams of the Bundesliga campaign meet on matchday six as Bayern Munich welcome Leipzig on Saturday. This match at Allianz Arena between the 3rd-placed ‘Bavarians’ and the 5th-placed ‘Red Bulls’ could end up being a high-scoring game, and our match prediction is over 4.5 goals.
With 11 points (W3, D2), Bayern are unbeaten this season but are two points behind leaders Freiburg. Leipzig have nine points (W3, L2) and are one point outside the top four spots.
Ten-man Bayern conceded a late goal to draw 3-3 away at Viking in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) this week. That result made it consecutive draws for the Bavarians, following their 2-2 draw away at Augsburg.
That result ended a two-game winning sequence in the league for Bayern, who still need to pick points and remain in touch with the leaders in the title race.
Leipzig won 1-0 at home against PSV in their UCL game this week, making it three wins in their last four competitive matches (L1). Two of those wins have come in the league, where a 6-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt last time out was a statement victory.
Only Bayern have scored more than Leipzig this season, while their defensive record is equally impressive. Leipzig need to better their away record though, having lost their last three competitive trips.
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Bayern Munich v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.21 | 8.00 | 9.40 |
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1.24 | 8.05 | 11.40 |
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1.20 | 7.70 | 11.00 |
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1.22 | 7.00 | 10.50 |
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1.20 | 7.70 | 11.00 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Leipzig match is: over 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Bayern Munich and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 80.47% for a win of Bayern Munich against Leipzig with odds of 1.24 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Leipzig is 7.78% with odds of 8.05 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayern Munich with odds of 11.4 at 1xbet.
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Form
Bayern Munich and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 |
|
5
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 |
Bayern Munich and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
23 May 2026 - DFB Pokal
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
2 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Podar-Stiube
S. Ulreich
M. Neuer
DefenderD. Upamecano
A. Davies
H. Ito
J. Stanisic
S. Boey
MidfielderB. Ndiaye
I. Saibari
A. Pavlovic
ForwardS. Gnabry
O. Nyland
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
A. Kone
B. Henrichs
L. Klostermann
M. Esteve
MidfielderA. Maksimovic
R. Reitz
N. Seiwald
ForwardT. Gomis
J. Bakayoko
Missing players
J. Musiala
C. Baumgartner
A. Ouedraogo
ForwardM. Guiu
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Leipzig
M. Olise
(4 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(4 Goals)
I. Saibari
(3 Assists)
A. Nusa
(3 Assists)
Bayern Munich and Leipzig Stats in Bundesliga
Bayern Munich - Leipzig Key Points
- Seven of Bayern’s last eight home competitive matches have produced over 4.5 goals.
- Three of Bayern’s last five matches in all competitions saw at least five goals.
- Three of Leipzig’s last five matches saw over 4.5 goals.
- Four of Leipzig’s last six away matches have seen five or more goals scored.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction
Bayern Munich were given a hard outing by Viking in the midweek Champions League fixture that they could only draw 3-3. They have now drawn their last two games, while Leipzig come into this match with two victories in a row in all competitions. The hosts have also won each of their three head-to-heads.
These sides are two of the best when it comes to goals in this league campaign, and that’s likely to continue here. Our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig prediction is over 4.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
