Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to bounce back from the midweek disappointment in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) when they travel to an inconsistent Union Berlin on matchday six. This match on Saturday at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Berlin between the 16th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the 2nd-placed ‘Black and Yellow’ could turn out to be a tough one for the hosts with our match prediction backing an away victory.
Ahead of this round, Union’s four points (W1, D1, L3) put them in the relegation playoff spot, albeit only by goal difference. Dortmund’s 13 points (W4, D1) keep them level on points with Freiburg but behind on goal difference.
Union edged Elversberg 1-0 at home last weekend to record a first win of the league campaign (D1, L3). It also came right on the heels of a 7-0 drubbing at the hands of Bayern Munich before the international break. That came on the road for the Iron Ones, who won just one of their three away league games.
Dortmund lost 1-0 away at Bodo/Glimt on Wednesday in the UCL competition, which was preceded by a 2-2 home draw against Werder Bremen. Having won their last four away competitive games, Dortmund will look to bounce back from the midweek loss in Europe.
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Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5.20 | 4.50 | 1.56 |
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5.34 | 4.63 | 1.63 |
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|
5.15 | 4.46 | 1.58 |
|
|
4.80 | 4.36 | 1.63 |
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4.80 | 4.36 | 1.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.33% for a win of Union Berlin against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund is 16.02% with odds of 4.63 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 |
|
16
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 |
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Raab
DefenderC. Trimmel
L. Querfeld
D. Kohn
MidfielderA. Kemlein
L. Burcu
ForwardM. Ljubicic
M. Gray
O. Burke
P. Drewes
A. Meyer
DefenderK. Prates
L. Reggiani
F. Mane
MidfielderM. Sabitzer
F. Nmecha
C. Chukwuemeka
ForwardS. Guirassy
M. Albert
E. Nwaneri
J. Ryerson
Missing players
J. Juranovic
S. Nsoki
A. Markgraf
ForwardA. Ilic
N. Schlotterbeck
MidfielderE. Can
G. Konstantelias
J. Lerma
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
T. Skarke
(2 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(2 Goals)
, 
F. Silva
(2 Goals)
,
F. Nmecha
(2 Goals)
J. Juranovic
(2 Assists)
M. Beier
(2 Assists)
,
S. Guirassy
(2 Assists)
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Dortmund have six wins from their last eight competitive matches this season.
- Union lost three of their last four league games.
- Union lost six of their last seven competitive games against Dortmund.
- Dortmund won their last three away league games.
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Our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Dortmund lost in the midweek Champions League fixture, which means they are winless in two games, going back to last week’s draw against Bremen in the Bundesliga. With the top four teams separated by just three points, any slip-up will see them move out of the top three. The union got their first win of the season last time out, but is that enough to spark a revival?
Dortmund have won their last three matches against Union, that too without conceding a goal. Their winning streak could continue, so our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
