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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
The Canadian Open hasn’t been the luckiest tournament for Frances Tiafoe. The seventh seed hopes his fortunes will change as he takes on qualifier Yosuka Watanuki in round two of this outdoor hard court tournament. Time for our match prediction.
Tiafoe is 13th in the live rankings but hasn’t won a match in this Masters tournament since 2022. He’s in good form at present though and will be confident of progressing to the last 32. If he does, his third round opponent will be either 31st seed Cameron Norrie or unseeded Aleksandar Vukic.
Last week, Tiafoe lost in the last eight in Washington. That was his best run on this surface in 2025. This is his third match against Watanuki and they are level at 1-1. Watanuki’s win came in this year’s Indian Wells tournament.
Two matches have already been won by Watanuki this week. He had to go to three sets to win his qualifying match. A final set was also required when defeating Daniel Altimaier in round one of this main draw. Those wins have taken him to 128th in the live list.
Only twice this year has he made it past round two of an ATP Tour event this year. We tip over 19.5 games to be played in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Yosuke Watanuki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.25 |
|
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki match is: over 19.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki game on 30/07/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 48.66% chance to win against Yosuke Watanuki according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.37.
- Yosuke Watanuki has a 51.34% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at William Hill.
Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 48.66 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 48.66 % |
| Yosuke Watanuki | 51.34 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Form
Frances Tiafoe and Yosuke Watanuki Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
16 Jul 2025 - Granby, Canada
15 Jul 2025 - Granby, Canada
Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Frances Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki Key Points
- Seven of Tiafoe’s last eight hard court matches have had over 19.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Tiafoe has played at least one in seven of his last nine matches.
- Both previous matches between these two players had over 19.5 games played in them with three tie-breaks played.
- Over 19.5 games were played in each of Watanuki’s last four matches, the last three each going to a final set.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction
Frances Tiafoe has had his problems on this surface in 2025. He did reach the quarter-finals in Washington last week but has lost both of his previous matches against Watanuki, one this year at Indian Wells.
Both of their previous meeting saw over 19.5 games played. Regularly these players are involved in long matches even when only a couple of sets are played. A side bet on a tie-break may well be a winner. Our Frances Tiafoe v Yosuke Watanuki prediction is over 19.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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