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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
It’s the battle of top versus bottom in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup UEFA qualification campaign when France hosts Azerbaijan on Friday. This match in Paris between Les Bleus and the fourth-placed ‘The National Team’ comes with our prediction of France -4 Asian Handicap.
With six points, France have a three-point advantage over Iceland in the group standings after two matches. Azerbaijan (D1, L1) are at the bottom of the points tally with a negative goal difference (five) and two points behind Iceland. Ukraine is the other team in the group from which only one side qualifies directly for the World Cup, while one team advances to the play-offs.
France won 2-0 away against Ukraine and 2-1 at home against Iceland in this campaign for their eighth win over the last 11 games (W8, D1, L2). They scored 17 goals in regular time in their last seven games and will look to continue that form.
Azerbaijan drew 1-1 at home against Ukraine in their last match but were beaten 5-0 away at Iceland on matchday one. The visitors have now lost nine of their 12 recent matches, drawing the other three, since their last win back in June 2024. It’s their away form that needs improvement, as Azerbaijan lost eight of their recent ten away fixtures (W1, D1, L8).
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Azerbaijan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 26 | 51 |
|
|
1.01 | 34 | 67 |
|
|
1.01 | 36 | 81 |
|
|
1 | 26 | 67 |
|
|
1 | 41 | 101 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between France and Azerbaijan?
Our prediction for the France vs Azerbaijan match is: France -4 Asian Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2025 between France and Azerbaijan in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 78.91% for a win of France against Azerbaijan with odds of 1.02 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Azerbaijan is 13.5% with odds of 48 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs France with odds of 126 at Bwin.
France - Azerbaijan Prediction and Best Odds:
| France Azerbaijan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 78.91% | 1.02 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.02% | 1.11 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 35.71% | 3.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : France/France | 45.37% | 1.17 at Betfair |
France vs Azerbaijan Form
France and Azerbaijan's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
|
4
|
1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -13 |
France and Azerbaijan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
France against Azerbaijan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
France
Azerbaijan
K. Mbappe
(5 Goals)
R. Dadashov
(1 Goals)
,
E. Makhmudov
(1 Goals)
France - Azerbaijan Key Points
- France won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions, drawing one and losing two.
- France have won five of their last eight home matches (W5, D2, L1) and won three in a row.
- France’s last match against Azerbaijan was a 10-0 win in 1995.
- Azerbaijan lost five of their seven recent matches, drawing the other two.
- Azerbaijan failed to score in six of their last eight matches.
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Our France vs Azerbaijan Prediction
It’s a top versus bottom battle in the group, but France are likely to go hard for a big win to consolidate their lead at the top. Azerbaijan will have to not just reverse their recent losing trend but also improve their scoring record to remain in contention. That’s because of their poor recent record of failing to score in six of their last eight matches.
This match could see France go for a big win, and that’s why our France vs Azerbaijan prediction is France -4 Asian Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Azerbaijan
| France vs Azerbaijan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins | 1.03 | 1.01 | -1.9% |
| Draw | 17 | 26 | +52.9% |
| Azerbaijan wins | 51 | 51 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 97.1% and is now 99.0% (1.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the France vs. Azerbaijan game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
