World - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
It’s the battle of top versus bottom in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup UEFA qualification campaign when France hosts Azerbaijan on Friday. This match in Paris between Les Bleus and the fourth-placed ‘The National Team’ comes with our prediction of France -4 Asian Handicap.
With six points, France have a three-point advantage over Iceland in the group standings after two matches. Azerbaijan (D1, L1) are at the bottom of the points tally with a negative goal difference (five) and two points behind Iceland. Ukraine is the other team in the group from which only one side qualifies directly for the World Cup, while one team advances to the play-offs.
France won 2-0 away against Ukraine and 2-1 at home against Iceland in this campaign for their eighth win over the last 11 games (W8, D1, L2). They scored 17 goals in regular time in their last seven games and will look to continue that form.
Azerbaijan drew 1-1 at home against Ukraine in their last match but were beaten 5-0 away at Iceland on matchday one. The visitors have now lost nine of their 12 recent matches, drawing the other three, since their last win back in June 2024. It’s their away form that needs improvement, as Azerbaijan lost eight of their recent ten away fixtures (W1, D1, L8).
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Azerbaijan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 21 | 51 |
|
|
1.01 | 21 | 51 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 67 |
|
|
1.01 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 20 | 31 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Azerbaijan?
Our prediction for the France vs Azerbaijan match is: France -4 Asian Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2025 between France and Azerbaijan in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 78.74% for a win of France against Azerbaijan with odds of 1.03 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Azerbaijan is 13.67% with odds of 31 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs France with odds of 91 at Bwin.
France vs Azerbaijan Form
France and Azerbaijan's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
4
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 |
France and Azerbaijan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
France vs Azerbaijan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
K. Thuram
Most goals and assists
France
Azerbaijan
K. Mbappe
(2 Goals)
E. Makhmudov
(1 Goals)
France - Azerbaijan Key Points
- France won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions, drawing one and losing two.
- France have won five of their last eight home matches (W5, D2, L1) and won three in a row.
- France’s last match against Azerbaijan was a 10-0 win in 1995.
- Azerbaijan lost five of their seven recent matches, drawing the other two.
- Azerbaijan failed to score in six of their last eight matches.
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Our France vs Azerbaijan Prediction
It’s a top versus bottom battle in the group, but France are likely to go hard for a big win to consolidate their lead at the top. Azerbaijan will have to not just reverse their recent losing trend but also improve their scoring record to remain in contention. That’s because of their poor recent record of failing to score in six of their last eight matches.
This match could see France go for a big win, and that’s why our France vs Azerbaijan prediction is France -4 Asian Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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