Azerbaijan vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
This is the final match in World Cup Qualifying Group D and France have already secured their place in the finals. They will finish top of the group and travel to bottom-placed Azerbaijan. Read our match prediction below.
France are five points clear at the top of this group with just this final game to come. They clinched qualification on Thursday evening with a convincing 4-0 home win over second-placed Ukraine.
The French side have won four of their five group games, the other being a 2-2 draw in Iceland. The reverse fixture against Azerbaijan was played in October 2024 with France winning the match 3-0.
Azerbaijan are playing France for the fourth time. Before the loss in this group, they had been beaten twice, including a 10-0 loss thirty years ago. They are yet to score a goal against France in international football.
It's been a disappointing World Cup campaign for Azerbaijan who have never reached the finals. Just one point has been earned from their five group fixtures. That was achieved in a 1-1 home draw with Ukraine in September 2024, needing a penalty to get the point.
Only two goals have been scored by them in this group, the other an own goal.
We tip France to win to nil.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Azerbaijan v France Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19 | 7.8 | 1.14 |
|
|
17 | 10 | 1 |
|
|
21 | 8.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
24 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
|
|
23 | 9 | 1.11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Azerbaijan and France?
Our prediction for the Azerbaijan vs France match is: France wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2025 between Azerbaijan and France in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 10.77% for a win of Azerbaijan against France with odds of 28 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Azerbaijan vs France is 17% with odds of 10 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 72.23% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Azerbaijan with odds of 1.14 at Stake.
Azerbaijan - France Prediction and Best Odds:
| Azerbaijan France Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 72.23% | 1.14 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.28% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: France/France | 42.07% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Azerbaijan vs France Form
Azerbaijan and France's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 |
|
4
|
1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -13 |
Azerbaijan and France Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Azerbaijan against France Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Agaev
A. Bayramov
C. Huseinov
S. Abdullazada
B. Huseynov
R. Abbasov
A. Huseynov
M. Ahmadzada
N. Akhundzade
A. Nuriev
R. Abdullazada
M. Maignan
B. Samba
DefenderL. Digne
W. Saliba
J. Kounde
D. Upamecano
MidfielderR. Cherki
N. Kante
ForwardB. Barcola
M. Olise
F. Thauvin
Missing players
A. Rabiot
Most goals and assists
Azerbaijan
France
E. Mahmudov
(1 Goals)
,
R. Dadashov
(1 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(5 Goals)
E. Jafarguliyev
(1 Assists)
,
R. Dashdamirov
(1 Assists)
K. Mbappe
(2 Assists)
,
M. Gusto
(2 Assists)
Azerbaijan - France Key Points
- Azerbaijan have never scored a goal against France in three previous defeats.
- Azerbaijan have scored only two goals in this group - a penalty and an own goal.
- Azerbaijan have failed to score in eight of their last 11 internationals.
- France have kept a clean sheet in three of their five games played in this group.
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Our Azerbaijan vs France Prediction
France will be without Kylian Mbappe for this game but that shouldn't affect the end result. France have won the group and will be playing in the finals in North America next summer. They beat Azerbaijan 3-0 in the reverse fixture and will expect another win here.
Azerbaijan are six points adrift at the bottom of this group. They have only scored two goals in their five group fixtures. One was a penalty, the other an own goal. Another dismal evenng awaits here. Our Azerbaijan v France prediction is France wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Azerbaijan France
| Azerbaijan vs France | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan wins | 23 | 28 | +21.7% |
| Draw | 7.9 | 10 | +26.6% |
| France wins | 1.14 | 1.14 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 87.7% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
