Tip Borussia Dortmund - PSG
The UEFA Champions League returns with the knockout stages fielding a number of high profile games, among them Borussia Dortmund’s home game against PSG. This match sees PSG manager Thomas Tuchel return to a venue he knows too well and after a scare in domestic action, he will hope for a better defensive display. While PSG struggled against Amiens, needing to rise from 0-3 down to draw 4-4, Dortmund had a field day, battering Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0. Dortmund’s win saw then end a run of two losses where they conceded heavily. Dortmund have seen each of their last six matches end in over 2.5 goals and they have scored two or more goals in the six matches, while keeping just two clean sheets. They have three straight home wins and in the Champions League, Dortmund have four wins in the last 11 – not a very strong run in Europe there. However, they are unbeaten in their last three Champions League games at home, though with just one clean sheet in the last four at home in the competition. In the last two Champions League home games, Dortmund have scored five goals and conceded three. This is the third meeting between the two sides; the first two ended in draws.
PSG on the other hand, survived a scare after going 3-0 down by the 40th minute to relegation threatened Amiens and while they looked to have turned around the clash, conceded late on to see it end 4-4. They have had defensive problems to deal with and this is well depicted in the fact that they have no clean sheet in their last four matches. However, they have scored four goals or more in their last three matches, with each of their last five matches ending in over 2.5 goals. PSG are unbeaten in their last 14 away matches and in the Champions League, they have not lost in the last six, winning five of them. They have scored two or more goals in four of their last six Champions League matches and are also unbeaten in the last six away. PSG have also kept three clean sheets in the last four away matches in the Champions League.
Key points Borussia Dortmund - PSG
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last three home matches.
PSG have scored four or more goals in their last three matches.
Dortmund have one clean sheet in four Champions League matches at home.
Dortmund have scored two or more in their last six matches.
PSG are unbeaten in their last six Champions League away matches.
Conclusion Borussia Dortmund - PSG
One thing we expect from this game is goals, going by the attacking returns we have seen from these sides. The fact that neither side has had a lot of clean sheets lately further builds on this expectation. In four of their last six Champions League matches, PSG have scored two or more and Dortmund have conceded two or more in three of their last six matches. We are backing this for a 2-2 draw at full time.
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Borussia Dortmund PSG Prediction published on February 17, 2020